我国固定资产投资结构及其与经济增长关系的区域差异研究

发布时间：2018-01-01 05:18

本文关键词：我国固定资产投资结构及其与经济增长关系的区域差异研究　出处：《中国海洋大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：现阶段我国正处在经济高速发展的时期，固定资产投资的增速也相当快，尤其是2008年国际金融危机的影响，固定资产投资得到了高度的重视。但一味只是重视提高固定资产投资总量来带动经济的增长具有盲目性和不可持续性。研究固定资产投资结构和经济增长之间的关系有着重要的现实意义。我国幅员辽阔，不同地区之间的固定资产投资的水平和结构不同，对经济增长的影响也存在着一定的差异，因此，需要把视角深入到不同的地区和不同的时期来探寻固定资产投资结构与经济增长之间的关系，从而得出更加符合实际的具体结论。对区域差异进行研究，可以更好地认识我国固定资产投资的情况，更有助于提出有利于各地区发展的政策建议。本文采用理论分析与实证检验相结合、定性分析与定量分析相结合的研究方法。在理论分析方面，对投资与经济增长关系的理论进行梳理，在实际检验方面，利用我国1995年到2012年的数据进行实证分析，运用相关性检验、平稳性检验、协整检验和Granger检验等，对我国固定资产投资结构与经济增长率之间的关系进行实证检验。在定性分析方面，考虑多方面因素对固定资产投资结构变化的影响，如政策影响等。定量分析方面,基于时间序列数据的计量模型从多个角度对数据进行检验，使检验结果更严谨，更有助于全面了解和分析问题。本文在第一章分析了相关的概念、投资与经济增长关系的理论、区域经济差异的相关理论。第二章主要介绍了我国固定资产投资的总量及结构的相关情况，是以1995—2012年为考察的时间段，对这期间固定资产投资状况进行分析，包括总量和结构的变化。第三章分析了我国固定资产投资增长率和经济增长率之间的关系。运用相关系数分析、平稳性检验、协整理论、Granger因果检验等方法，针对全国1995-2012年时间序列，对政府投资、民间投资、港澳台及外资投资与经济增长之间的关系进行实证分析。第四章是固定资产投资的内部关系分析，对政府投资、民间投资、港澳台及外商投资之间的关系进行分析。并研究在不同的经济发展阶段，政府投资、民间投资、港澳台及外商投资的变动情况。分析固定资产投资结构变动的原因。第五章是固定资产投资结构与经济增长关系的地区差异研究。分析了东部地区、中部地区和西部地区固定资产的投资结构与经济增长之间关系的地区差异，并提出相应的政策建议。经过分析，本文得出了一些结论。民间投资的投资效率是最高的，要加强民间投资的力度，提高政府投资和港澳台投资的效率，使固定资产的投资结构进一步优化。港澳台投资及外资的投资的效率虽然略低于民间投资，但与政府投资的投资效率相比是比较高的，与经济增长之间的关系也是比较密切的。此外，还对不同投资来源的投资提出了不同的政策建议，，优化固定资产投资的结构。东部地区、中部地区、西部地区和我国固定资产投资结构的整体情况是一致的，民间投资的规模比政府投资要大，投资规模最小的是港澳台投资及外资投资。人均民间资本投资额的增长速度是都是最快的，其次是人均政府投资额的增长速度，增长速度最慢的都是人均港澳台及外资投资额的增长速度。无论是人均政府投资额的增长速度、人均民间投资额的增长速度还是人均港澳台及外资投资额的增长速度，西部地区都是最快的。对于相关性来说，西部地区的固定资产投资与经济增长的相关性是最强的，其次是中部地区，最弱的是东部地区。
[Abstract]:At present our country is in a period of rapid economic development, fixed asset investment growth rate is quite fast, especially the impact of the international financial crisis in 2008, investment in fixed assets has been paid high attention. But just pay attention to the improvement of total fixed asset investment to drive economic growth has blindness and has not sustainable. The important practical significance to study the relationship between the fixed assets investment structure and economic growth. China has a vast territory, the level and structure between different regions of fixed asset investment, the impact on economic growth also has a certain difference, therefore, need to in-depth perspective into different regions and different periods of time to explore the relationship between between the fixed assets investment structure and economic growth, so as to draw specific conclusions more practical. The research on the regional differences, can have a better understanding of China's fixed assets The situation of investment in production is more helpful to put forward policy proposals for the development of various regions.
In this paper, by combining theoretical analysis and empirical research methods, combining qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis. In the theoretical analysis, the relationship between investment and economic growth theory, in the actual test, using an empirical analysis of China from 1995 to 2012 data, using the correlation test, stationarity test, cointegration test and Granger test, an empirical test of the relationship between China's fixed assets investment structure and economic growth. In the aspect of qualitative analysis, considering the various factors on the fixed assets investment structure change influence, such as policy influence. In quantitative analysis, econometric model based on time series data from multiple angles test data and make the result more rigorous, more conducive to a comprehensive understanding and analysis of the problem.
This paper analyzes the related concepts in the first chapter, the relationship between investment and economic growth theory, the theory of regional economic differences. The second chapter mainly introduces the related situation of total amount and structure of China's investment in fixed assets, is from 1995 to 2012 for the inspection period, the investment in fixed assets in this period were analyzed, including changes in quantity and structure. The third chapter analyzes the relationship between China's fixed asset investment growth rate and economic growth rate. The analysis using the correlation coefficient stationary test, cointegration theory, Granger causality test and other methods, in the light of the 1995-2012 time series of government investment, private investment, empirical analysis of the relationship between between Taiwan and foreign investment and economic growth in Hong Kong. The fourth chapter is the analysis of the internal relationship between the investment of fixed assets, the government investment, private investment, the relationship between Hong Kong and Macao and foreign investment between the The analysis and research in different stages of economic development, government investment, private investment, changes in Hong Kong and Macao and foreign investment. The causes of changes in the structure of investment in fixed assets. The fifth chapter is the study of regional differences in the relationship between fixed assets investment structure and economic growth. The analysis of the eastern region, the relationship between investment structure and regional differences the economic growth of fixed assets of the central region and the western region, and put forward corresponding policy recommendations.
After analysis, this paper draws some conclusions. The efficiency of investment of private investment is the highest, to strengthen private investment, improve the efficiency of investment and government investment in Hong Kong and Macao, the fixed assets investment structure was further optimized. The efficiency of Hong Kong and Taiwan investment and foreign investment is slightly lower than the private investment, but the investment efficiency and government compared to the investment is relatively high, and the relationship between economic growth is relatively close. In addition, the different policy suggestions are put forward on different sources of investment investment, optimizing the structure of fixed assets investment. The eastern region, central region, western region and the overall situation is consistent with China's fixed assets investment structure. Private investment scale is bigger than the government investment, the scale of investment is the smallest in Hong Kong and Taiwan investment and foreign investment. The per capita private capital investment growth rate is the fastest, the Is the per capita government investment growth rate, the slowest rate of growth per capita is Hong Kong Macao and foreign investment growth rate. Both per capita government investment growth rate, the per capita amount of private investment growth rate per capita or Hong Kong Macao and foreign investment growth rate, the western region is the fastest. For correlation, correlation between fixed assets investment and economic growth in the western region is the strongest, followed by the central region, the eastern region is the weakest.

【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124

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