2015年世界经济走势及应对之策

发布时间：2018-01-03 22:03

本文关键词：2015年世界经济走势及应对之策　出处：《福建论坛(人文社会科学版)》2015年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：世界经济于2014年总体呈现缓慢增长的状态,各经济体增长步伐存在明显差异。2015年世界经济可能保持温和增长的态势,但仍处于深度调整期,复杂多变的国际环境使世界经济的复苏面临许多不确定因素的挑战。预计在世界主要经济体中,美国经济将保持相对强劲发展势头,欧元区经济仍将延续脆弱复苏趋势,日本经济复苏前景黯淡,新兴经济体增长前景明显分化。以原油为代表的国际大宗商品价格可能在低位震荡并逐步反弹,对各国经济的影响差异巨大。"去全球化"和贸易保护主义问题继续抬头,全球经济治理机制变革加速推进,国际区域经济体一体化进程加快。对此,中国应更加注重实施大国战略,高层次与大规模地加快自由贸易区建设,以加快实施创新驱动发展战略提升国际竞争力,推动企业大规模"走出去"并提升品牌国际影响力。
[Abstract]:In 2014, the world economy showed a state of slow growth, and there were obvious differences in the pace of growth among different economies. 2015, the world economy may maintain a moderate growth trend, but still in a period of deep adjustment. The complex and volatile international environment has challenged the recovery of the world economy with many uncertainties. The United States economy is expected to maintain a relatively strong momentum among the world's major economies. The eurozone economy will continue its fragile recovery, Japan's recovery outlook is bleak, and the growth prospects for emerging economies are sharply differentiated. International commodity prices, represented by crude oil, are likely to fluctuate at low levels and rebound gradually. The impact on each country's economy is huge. The problems of "deglobalization" and trade protectionism continue to rise, the reform of global economic governance mechanism accelerates and the process of integration of international and regional economies accelerates. China should pay more attention to the implementation of the big country strategy and accelerate the construction of free trade area on a high level and on a large scale in order to speed up the implementation of the strategy of innovation-driven development to enhance the international competitiveness. Promote enterprises to "go out" on a large scale and enhance the brand's international influence.
【作者单位】：西北大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：陕西省重点学科建设专项资金(世界经济)资助项目(ZDXKW00504)
【分类号】：F113
【正文快照】： 一、对2015年世界经济走势的总体判断2014年,世界经济总体呈现缓慢增长的状态,各经济体增长步伐存在明显差异。其中:美国经济持续复苏,表现抢眼;中国经济告别超高速增长状态,但仍属于增长最快的国家之一;日本和欧洲继续艰难复苏,但面临较大的增长障碍;新兴经济体增长步伐明显

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