中国对东亚主要贸易伙伴贸易转向的影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-01-04 01:24

本文关键词：中国对东亚主要贸易伙伴贸易转向的影响因素研究　出处：《沈阳理工大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：研究表明,东亚地区①的贸易实践有两个现象引起了人们关注：一是东亚地区的区域内贸易比重显著增加，东亚的贸易趋势由区域外贸易转向区域内贸易。1970-2012年，东亚区域内贸易占全部贸易的比重由19.8%上升至53%，而且区域内贸易比重一直在增加。二是东亚中的中国对不同区域贸易伙伴表现出贸易上的明显不平衡：一方面是中国对美国连年的高额贸易顺差，另一方面中国是对东亚地区总体的贸易逆差。本文从中国的视角，研究发现中国的对外贸易也由东亚区域外贸易转向了东亚的区域内贸易，即中国的贸易转向问题。同时，本文也分析了中国的贸易转向问题产生的原因。论文第一部分介绍了本文的研究的背景、意义和研究思路与创新之处。第二部分，从区域经济一体化、关税同盟和自由贸易区的静态效应和引力模型三个方面梳理了本文研究的理论基础。第三部分，从中国的视角，采用比较分析和引力模型相结合的方法，对中国2000-2012年与东亚地区对外贸易情况进行分析。首先对中国与东亚的进出口总额、贸易依存度、贸易密集度进行分析与测算，然后通过贸易引力模型，对中国——东盟自由贸易区的静态效应中的贸易转移效应进行计量分析，然后得出本章小结，中国的对外贸易转向东亚区域内贸易的现象比较明显。第四部分，首先通过传统垂直专业化分工的方法分析这一转向问题，然后分析东亚区域经济合作进程，东亚作为发达国家与发展中国家相混合的的“异质”结构间的区域一体化组织，，处于浅层次贸易一体化的阶段，所以出现了贸易转向这一现象。最后探讨引起中国贸易转向问题的其他原因。第五部分是研究结论以及政策建议。
[Abstract]:The study shows that there are two phenomena in the trade practice in East Asia : one is the significant increase of intraregional trade in East Asia , the trade trend of East Asia is increased from 19.8 % to 53 % , and the proportion of intraregional trade has been increasing . The first part of this paper introduces the background , significance and research thoughts and innovations of the research . The second part , from the regional economic integration , the customs union and the free trade area ' s static effect and gravitation model , this paper studies the theoretical basis of this paper . The third part , from the perspective of China , uses comparative analysis and gravitation model to analyze the foreign trade of China in 2000 - 2012 and East Asia . First , the trade transfer effect in China and East Asia is analyzed and measured . Then , through the trade gravitation model , the trade transfer effect in the static effect of China _ ASEAN Free Trade Area is measured and analyzed . Then , it is concluded that China ' s foreign trade is more obvious to trade in East Asia region . The fourth part , firstly , analyzes the turning problem through the traditional vertical specialization method , then analyzes East Asia regional economic cooperation process , East Asia as the regional integration organization between the developed countries and developing countries , and is in the stage of shallow trade integration , so the phenomenon of trade diversion has occurred . Finally , the other reasons of China ' s trade diversion problems are discussed . The fifth part is the conclusions and policy recommendations .

【学位授予单位】：沈阳理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7

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