安徽经济增长与金融发展的实证分析

发布时间：2018-01-15 12:36

本文关键词：安徽经济增长与金融发展的实证分析　出处：《安徽财经大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：经济增长关系到国家繁荣富强、社会稳定、人民生活。不断探究哪些是促进经济增长的因素,如何让这些因素更好的为经济增长服务是经济学家们一直的话题。关于金融发展的支撑作用,国内外研究大多得到了证实,然而这些研究成果都普遍以国家为单位,尤其是发达国家,很少以一个地区为个体深入研究。中国幅员辽阔,地域差异明显,各地均有其自身的独特性和优越性,会使得对于不同地域范围,经济增长与金融发展的关系不同,作用机制也会相应的存在差异。以安徽省来讲,作为一个中部欠发达城市,显然套用发达国家的理论或者我国整体情况的结论是不合理的,而需要从安徽省实际情况出发,深入探究经济与金融的因果关系,剖析金融发展对经济支撑的优势与劣势,这对于进一步促进安徽经济和金融发展,提高安徽省在全国的地位具有重要的实践意义；对于分析我国区域经济增长与金融发展实证研究,特别对于不发达省份的实证研究提供了较强的理论意义。论文整体内容分为五大部分,第一部分是本文绪论,简要介绍了选题的背景、研究意义、国内外发展现状、研究方法、创新点及不足。第二部分作为本文的理论支撑,分别就经济发展和金融发展的演变过程进行了详细的描述,然后详述了两者的作用机制,并从三方面讲述了金融发展的哪些方面影响了经济增长。第三部分从实际出发,对安徽省经济增长与金融发展就近期发展情况进行了概述,有利于下文的实证分析及建议的提出。第四部分是本文的实证内容,根据指标的建设结合安徽省的实际,选取了合适的经济增长与金融发展指标：用于反映经济增长的实际经济增长率R；用于反映金融发展指标的是金融相关率F、资本市场证券业深度水平S、衡量保险业水平的指标工。其次运用EVIEWS6.0对所选指标进行计量经济分析,对指标进行相关检验并建立回归方程,指出了各金融指标对经济增长的相关关系,然后从格兰杰因果关系检验结果分析得出了安徽省经济增长与资本市场是双向相关关系,而与保险市场是单向相关关系。第五部分是从银行业、资本市场中的股票业、保险业等方面对安徽经济增长与金融发展提出了政策建议。
[Abstract]:The relationship between economic growth and social stability, to the National People's rich, strong and prosperous, constantly explore life. What are the factors that promote economic growth, how to make these factors better to serve economic growth is the topic. Economists have been supporting effect on financial development, the domestic and foreign research have been confirmed, but the results of these studies are generally in the country as a unit, especially the developed countries, with a few areas for further research on the individual. China vast and obvious regional difference throughout the uniqueness and superiority of its own, will make for different regions, the relationship between economic growth and financial development, the mechanism will be a corresponding difference in Anhui. Province, as a less developed central city, is not a reasonable conclusion clearly to overall situation of developed countries or the theory of our country, and from Anhui Province The actual situation of the causal relationship between the in-depth study of economic and financial analysis, financial development advantages and disadvantages of economic support, to further promote the Anhui economic and financial development, improve the Anhui province has important practical significance in the national status; for analysis of China's regional economic growth and financial development provides empirical research, especially strong theoretical significance of empirical research for the less developed provinces.
The whole thesis consists of five parts, the first part is the introduction, briefly introduces the background, research significance, domestic and international development status, research methods, innovation and deficiencies. The second part is the theoretical support of this article, respectively discussed the evolution process of the development of economy and finance, and then details the the role of the two mechanisms, and describes what financial development affects economic growth from three aspects. The third part from the reality of Anhui Province financial development and economic growth on the recent development situation were summarized, the empirical analysis and suggestions for the following. The fourth part is the empirical part of this paper, according to the actual Anhui Province, combined with the construction of indicators, selecting the appropriate economic growth and financial development indicators: rate of R for the actual economic growth reflects the economic growth; to reflect the financial The rate of financial development index is F, the capital market securities industry index level of depth S, measuring the level of the insurance industry. Then by using EVIEWS6.0 on the selected indicators of econometric analysis, correlation test of the index and the regression equation, pointed out the relationship between the financial indicators of economic growth, and then from the Grainger causal relation the inspection results are obtained that the economic growth of Anhui province and the capital market is a two-way relationship with the insurance market is a one-way relationship. The fifth part is from the banking sector, the capital market in the stock industry, the insurance industry and put forward policy suggestions on Anhui economic growth and financial development.

【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F832.7

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