政府间转移支付对中国省级区域经济增长的影响效应研究

发布时间：2018-02-14 12:34

本文关键词： 政府间转移支付区域经济增长面板数据空间计量　出处：《南昌大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：科学的政府间转移支付制度通过中央—地方经济利益的再分配，在实现各地区财力均衡、优化资源配置、缩小区域经济发展差距、促进社会公平等方面具有重要作用。我国于1994年建立了政府间转移支付制度。自此，国内越来越多的研究致力于评估解释转移支付对均衡地区间财力差距，实现地区间基本公共服务能力的均等化和缩小地区间经济发展差距等方面的影响作用，然而结果不尽相同。本文旨在现有的研究基础上，考虑采用多种估计方法，对数据进行适当的处理，检验不同估计方法能否得到相似或相同的结论，，以增强政府间转移支付对省级区域经济增长的影响的解释。本文以索罗—斯旺新古典增长模型为依据，构建面板数据模型及其空间形式，采用Driscoll-Kraay法、两步系统广义矩估计法（Two-step System GMM）和空间估计方法，对政府间转移支付在中国省级区域经济增长方面的影响效应进行评估。通过本文的研究，笔者得到：政府间转移支付能够显著促进中国省级区域经济增长，只是影响程度不大；在以中西部地区为主体的欠发达地区，政府间转移支付对经济增长的促进程度要大于全国平均水平；与目前大部分相关研究结果相似，政府间转移支付扩大了地区间经济发展差距，对我国本不大的区域经济收敛速度产生了消极效应。
[Abstract]:The scientific intergovernmental transfer payment system can realize the balance of financial resources, optimize the allocation of resources and narrow the gap of regional economic development through the redistribution of economic benefits between central and local governments. In 1994, China established the intergovernmental transfer payment system. Since then, more and more research has been devoted to assessing and explaining the financial gap between regions. The effects of equalization of basic public service capacity among regions and narrowing the gap of regional economic development are not the same, however, the results are not the same. This paper aims to use various estimation methods on the basis of existing research. The data are properly processed to test whether different estimation methods can get similar or identical conclusions in order to enhance the interpretation of the impact of intergovernmental transfer payments on the economic growth of provincial regions. Based on the Solow Swan neoclassical growth model, the panel data model and its spatial form are constructed in this paper. The Driscoll-Kraay method, the two-step System GMMM method and the spatial estimation method are used. This paper evaluates the effect of inter-governmental transfer payment on China's provincial regional economic growth. Through the research of this paper, the author concludes that intergovernmental transfer payment can significantly promote China's provincial regional economic growth, but to a lesser extent; In the underdeveloped regions with the central and western regions as the main body, the degree of promotion of inter-governmental transfer payment to economic growth is greater than the national average, which is similar to the results of most relevant studies at present. The inter-governmental transfer payment widens the gap of regional economic development and has a negative effect on the convergence rate of regional economy in China.
【学位授予单位】：南昌大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F812.45;F124.1

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