中俄建立自由贸易区的可行性研究

发布时间：2018-02-24 18:32

本文关键词： 中国俄罗斯自由贸易区可行性　出处：《中国海洋大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：经济全球化和区域经济一体化已成为当今世界经济发展的重要趋势。在经济一体化不断发展的背景下，各个国家之间的经贸合作不断扩大和深化，使区域经济得到了巨大发展。世界各国为了顺应时代的潮流，都积极加入到经济一体化的大军中，通过与相邻国家建立自由贸易区的方式来促进本国经济的发展。中国与俄罗斯同为“金砖国家”，在世界经济中占据重要位置，两国在地域上相邻，政治基础牢靠，并且在资源与产业结构上具有很强比较优势和互补性，这都为中俄两国的经贸发展奠定了坚实基础。2011年12月，俄罗斯成功地加入了世界贸易组织，结束了长达十八年之久的入世历程，为两国经济贸易活动的发展开启了新的篇章。尽管近年来中国和俄罗斯的经贸关系得到了巨大发展，但是与两国的政治关系、经济实力以及在国际事务中的大国地位不相符，中俄贸易额并没有在两国的贸易总额中占据应有的份额，两国经济贸易仍有很大的上升空间。在此背景下，本文对中俄建立自由贸易区进行了研究和分析。本文在分析中国和俄罗斯经贸合作现状的基础上，通过收集大量的数据资料，采用理论分析与实证分析相结合、定性分析与定量分析相结合的方法，从多角度探讨了中俄建立自由贸易区的相关问题，其中对两国建立自由贸易区的影响因素进行分析；重点论述了中俄建立自贸区的可行性，运用数据构建一元线性回归模型对中俄建立自由贸易区的经济影响以及相关贸易指数进行分析；借鉴世界其他主要自由贸易区的经验，，对进一步深化中俄区域经济合作提出了一些政策与建议。通过本文的研究，可以得到建立中俄自由贸易区是可行的结论。尽管中俄在建立自贸区的过程中存在着许多制约因素，但中国和俄罗斯政府应大力支持和鼓励，充分利用地缘、政治、资源互补等优势，从两国的共同的利益出发，积极开展多方面、多领域的合作，加强沟通与深入了解，克服障碍，携手共进。建立中俄自由贸易区是一个长期的、复杂的过程，合作的道路虽然是曲折的，两国经贸发展的前景却是光明的。
[Abstract]:Economic globalization and regional economic integration have become an important trend of economic development in the world today. Under the background of the continuous development of economic integration, the economic and trade cooperation between various countries has been continuously expanded and deepened. In order to conform to the trend of the times, all countries in the world have actively joined the army of economic integration. China and Russia are the "BRICS" countries, which occupy an important position in the world economy. The two countries are geographically adjacent and have a strong political foundation. Moreover, it has strong comparative advantages and complementarities in terms of resources and industrial structure, which have laid a solid foundation for the economic and trade development of China and Russia. In December 2011, Russia successfully joined the World Trade Organization. The end of the 18-year WTO accession process has opened a new chapter for the development of economic and trade activities between the two countries. Although the economic and trade relations between China and Russia have developed tremendously in recent years, they have enjoyed political relations with the two countries. Economic strength and the status of a major power in international affairs are not in line with each other. Sino-Russian trade volume does not occupy the share of the total trade between the two countries, and there is still a lot of room for economic and trade growth between the two countries. In this context, This article has carried on the research and the analysis to the establishment of the free trade zone between China and Russia. On the basis of analyzing the present situation of economic and trade cooperation between China and Russia, this paper adopts the method of combining theoretical analysis with empirical analysis, qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis by collecting a large amount of data. This paper probes into the related problems of the establishment of free trade zone between China and Russia from many angles, including the analysis of the factors influencing the establishment of free trade zone between China and Russia, and the feasibility of establishing free trade zone between China and Russia. Using the data to build a linear regression model to analyze the economic impact and related trade index of the establishment of free trade area between China and Russia, and to learn from the experience of other major free trade zones in the world. Some policies and suggestions have been put forward to further deepen the regional economic cooperation between China and Russia. Through the research of this paper, we can draw the conclusion that it is feasible to establish the Sino-Russian Free Trade area. Although there are many restrictive factors in the process of establishing the Free Trade area, the Chinese and Russian governments should support and encourage it. Making full use of the advantages of geography, politics, and complementary resources, proceeding from the common interests of the two countries, actively developing multifaceted and multi-field cooperation, strengthening communication and in-depth understanding, and overcoming obstacles. The establishment of a Sino-Russian free trade zone is a long and complicated process. Although the path of cooperation is tortuous, the prospects for the development of trade and economic cooperation between the two countries are bright.
【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7

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