广东省区域经济差异与经济收敛性研究

发布时间：2018-03-20 08:14

本文选题：广东　切入点：经济差异　出处：《中共广东省委党校》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来，广东是全国发展最快的省份，同时也是发展最不平衡的区域。广东省内巨大的区域经济差异不仅扭曲了资源的配置，而且成为广东经济未来持续快速发展的潜在风险。党的十六届三中全会提出，缩小地区差距，统筹区域发展。广东必须抓住当前有利条件，充分利用自身优势，，走出区域经济发展严重不平衡的困境。本文以广东为研究对象，揭示导致区域经济差异的原因，挖掘影响经济收敛的因素及其作用机制，试图提出参考性的政策建议。本文主要采用理论与实证相结合的研究方法。首先，在提出研究问题以后，深入研究了新古典增长理论和新增长理论，阐释了两种理论中所蕴含的经济收敛思想，并梳理了国内外相关的经典文献；其次，介绍收敛检验模型的推导、扩展和建立，以及在面板数据使用中模型形式的设定；最后分别从σ收敛、绝对β收敛、条件β收敛和俱乐部收敛四个方面对广东区域经济进行实证收敛检验，并利用Dowrick-Rogers模型进行收敛机制分析。本文的主要结论有如下三点：（1）广东整体经济发展水平的绝对差异始终上升，珠三角区域内的绝对差异几乎与广东整体差异保持一致。而广东整体经济发展水平的相对差异在样本区间总体呈下降趋势。在四大经济区域层面，既有区域内差距的扩大，又有区域间差距的扩大；（2）广东区域经济增长呈绝对β收敛，但经济增长并不能由初始产出水平简单的负向决定，存在着发达地区比落后地区以更高的增长率增长，这说明落后地区并不能自然地获得赶超发达地区的“后发优势”。四大经济区域的“俱乐部收敛”现象显著，各自区域内部出现了明显的增长趋同；（3）广东市际间经济增长差异表现出明显的条件收敛性，开放程度、工业化水平和市场化程度等变量都对各市的经济增长均产生明显的正向推动作用，因此，各市间在这些变量上的差异是导致其经济发展差异的主要原因；（4）广东区域间存在两种收敛机制：新古典收敛机制和新经济收敛机制。最后，在理论分析和实证检验的基础上，分别从政策层面、制度层面和产业层面给出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, Guangdong has been the fastest-growing province in the country, and it is also the region with the most unbalanced development. The huge regional economic differences in Guangdong not only distort the allocation of resources, Moreover, it has become a potential risk for the sustained and rapid economic development of Guangdong in the future. The third Plenary session of the 16 CPC Central Committee proposed that regional disparities be narrowed and regional development coordinated. Guangdong must seize the current favorable conditions and make full use of its own advantages. Out of the dilemma of serious imbalance of regional economic development, this paper takes Guangdong as the research object, reveals the reasons leading to regional economic differences, excavates the factors affecting economic convergence and its mechanism, and tries to put forward some policy suggestions for reference. First of all, after putting forward the research questions, this paper deeply studies the neoclassical growth theory and the new growth theory, and explains the economic convergence thought contained in the two theories. Then, it introduces the derivation, expansion and establishment of convergence test model and the setting of model form in the use of panel data. Finally, from 蟽 convergence, absolute 尾 convergence, Conditional 尾 convergence and club convergence are used to test the empirical convergence of Guangdong regional economy, and the convergence mechanism is analyzed by using Dowrick-Rogers model. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: (1) the absolute difference in the overall level of economic development in Guangdong has been rising. The absolute difference in the Pearl River Delta region is almost consistent with the overall difference in Guangdong Province, while the relative difference in the overall economic development level of Guangdong Province shows a general downward trend in the sample region. The regional economic growth in Guangdong is absolutely 尾 -convergent, but the economic growth cannot be determined by the simple negative direction of the initial output level. There exists a higher growth rate in developed regions than in backward regions. This shows that backward regions cannot naturally gain the "late-development advantage" of catching up with developed regions. The "club convergence" phenomenon in the four major economic regions is remarkable. The differences in economic growth among the cities of Guangdong show obvious conditional convergence and openness. The level of industrialization and the degree of marketization all have a significant positive impact on the economic growth of each city. The difference in these variables among cities is the main reason for the difference in economic development. (4) there are two kinds of convergence mechanisms in Guangdong: neo-classical convergence mechanism and neo-economic convergence mechanism. Finally, on the basis of theoretical analysis and empirical test, the corresponding policy recommendations are given from the policy level, the institutional level and the industrial level.
【学位授予单位】：中共广东省委党校
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F224

【参考文献】