TPP向何处去:美国对亚太区域经济一体化的政策嬗变

发布时间：2018-03-21 04:45

本文选题：TPP　切入点：美国　出处：《教学与研究》2017年06期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：跨太平洋伙伴关系协定(TPP)是美国"亚太再平衡战略"的重要组成部分,而特朗普政府退出TPP则标志着美国亚太区域经济一体化的重大政策嬗变。当前,TPP主要存在搁置、瘦身、变型、分解、消亡等五种变化可能。五种情境中,美国维系TPP的意愿不断下降,对TPP的解构和对奥巴马时期亚太政策的偏离依次递增,由此造成亚太区域经济合作格局面临的不确定性逐渐加大。在"后TPP时代",亚太区域经济一体化的外部压力有所缓解,但内部动力也随之降低。区域全面经济伙伴关系(RCEP)、亚太自由贸易区(FTAAP)等将面临更为复杂的政策博弈和更为困难的谈判进程。"加入TPP"固然为中国提供了更多的政策选项,但当务之急仍是在RCEP等谈判上达成较高水平的阶段性成果,循序渐进地推动区域经济一体化。
[Abstract]:The trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) is an important part of the "Asia Pacific rebalancing strategy", and the Trump administration withdrew from the TPP marks a major policy evolution of American Asia Pacific regional economic integration. At present, TPP are mainly use, slimming, variant, decomposition, perish five changes. In five situations. The United States will continue to maintain the TPP of TPP decreased, the deconstruction and deviation of Obama during the Asia Pacific policy gradually increased, resulting in the face of regional economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific pattern of uncertainty increased gradually. In the post TPP era, the Asia Pacific regional economic integration of the external pressure eased, but the internal power is also reduced. The regional comprehensive economic partnership (RCEP), the Asia Pacific Free Trade Area (FTAAP) will face more and more complex policy negotiation process difficult. "TPP" was to provide more policy China Options, but the top priority remains to reach a higher level of stage results in the RCEP negotiations, and step by step to promote regional economic integration.

【作者单位】：复旦大学日本研究中心、金砖国家研究中心;复旦大学两岸关系和平发展协同创新中心;
【基金】：国家社科基金青年项目“RCEP与TPP背景下的中国亚太跨区域开放合作战略研究”(项目号:13CGJ029) 教育部国别和区域研究指向性课题“推动金砖国家经贸领域务实合作研究”(项目号:17GBQY041)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F744

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