湖南财政支出结构对经济增长影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-27 16:16

本文选题：财政支出结构　切入点：经济增长　出处：《山东大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：在宏观经济研究中,政府在经济增长中所起到的作用一直是研究的重点之一。由于市场经济天生所具有的局限性,政府必须在市场经济调节失控的时候,采取相应的宏观经济政策来保证经济的平稳发展。在政府的各项政策中,政府财政支出有着极其重要的意义。所以财政支出与经济增长之间的关系也一直是学术界研究的重点话题之一在过去的研究中,众多学者对不同政府的不同财政支出结构与当地经济发展的关系进行研究,得出许多不同的结论。事实上,由于研究对象的不同,研究方法的不同,研究数据的来源不同等因素的影响,这种差异性也是合理的。由于这种差异性的存在,我们有必要继续对我们感兴趣的地区的财政支出结构与经济增长的关系进行研究。回顾国内外的研究,大家主要是通过地区的财政支出结构与地区经济增长的速度与结构进行定性和定量的分析,来得出他们之间的关系。这一思路也是本文研究的方法论基础。在国内的关于财政支出结构与地区经济增长的研究中,对于各省的研究较少,更多的都集中在国家宏观经济层面,忽略了区域经济发展的重要性。本文研究的初衷就是为了更好的去研究地方财政支出结构和地方经济之间的关系,为地方政府的政策制定提供依据。本文主要针对湖南省财政支出状况来分析湖南省财政支出结构与湖南省经济发展的关系。本文首先对湖南省财政支出规模和支出结构进行实证分析,总结出相应的财政政策的特点与规律。然后应用计量方法,分别对湖南省财政支出结构与湖南省经济增长的关系进行分析。分析中主要用到了协整方法,Var方法和脉冲影响分析方法,系统的分析了两者之间的关系,并给出了相关的财政政策建议,希望能给地方政府政策制定起到参考作用。
[Abstract]:In macroeconomic research, the role played by the government in economic growth has always been one of the focal points of the study. Due to the inherent limitations of the market economy, the government must control the market economy when it is out of control. Adopt corresponding macroeconomic policies to ensure the smooth development of the economy. Therefore, the relationship between fiscal expenditure and economic growth has always been one of the most important topics in academic research. In the past studies, many scholars have studied the relationship between the different fiscal expenditure structure of different governments and the local economic development, and reached many different conclusions. In fact, because of the different research object, the research method is different. It is also reasonable to study the influence of different sources of data on the relationship between fiscal expenditure structure and economic growth in areas of interest to us. Looking back at domestic and foreign research, we have made qualitative and quantitative analysis mainly through the structure of regional fiscal expenditure and the speed and structure of regional economic growth, This idea is also the methodological basis of this study. In the domestic research on the structure of fiscal expenditure and regional economic growth, the research on the provinces is less, more concentrated on the national macroeconomic level. The purpose of this paper is to study the relationship between the local financial expenditure structure and the local economy, and to provide the basis for the policy making of the local government. This paper mainly analyzes the relationship between the structure of fiscal expenditure and the economic development of Hunan Province in view of the situation of fiscal expenditure in Hunan Province. Firstly, this paper makes an empirical analysis on the scale and structure of fiscal expenditure in Hunan Province. The characteristics and laws of the corresponding fiscal policy are summarized. Then the metrological method is applied. The relationship between the financial expenditure structure of Hunan Province and the economic growth of Hunan Province is analyzed. The co-integration method and pulse impact analysis method are mainly used in the analysis, and the relationship between the two methods is analyzed systematically. It also gives the relevant financial policy advice, hoping to give the local government policy to play a reference role.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F812.45;F124.1

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