构建中日韩自由贸易区的贸易效应研究

发布时间：2018-04-06 00:40

本文选题：中日韩　切入点：自由贸易区　出处：《湘潭大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：经济全球化大背景下，日益加快的区域经济一体化步伐带动了全球区域性经贸合作的开展。发展较为成熟的区域经济一体化组织欧盟和北美自由贸易区的区域经济合作是发达国家和发展中国家的榜样。东亚作为世界上第三大的经济体，为谋求更大的经济利益与经济发展，区域内经济合作是必然趋势。经济总量约占整个东亚区域经济总量的90%、人口总量约占东亚总人口数的74%的中国、日本和韩国已把组建中日韩自由贸易区提上议程，三国领导人正就有关具体事宜进行积极的磋商和谈判。中日韩自由贸易区的建立，将形成国内生产总值和贸易额占全球两成的巨大商业圈，不仅有利于这三个国家的经济发展，并对促进东亚经济合作乃至整个世界经济的发展具有重要的意义。本文在对国内外有关中日韩自由贸易区的相关研究成果进行综述的基础上，立足于比较优势理论和自由贸易区的相关理论，综合运用宏观分析与微观分析、定性分析与定量分析相结合辅以指数分析的方法，首先对建立中日韩自由贸易区的可行性进行分析，接着重点探讨了构建中日韩自由贸易区会产生的贸易静态效应与贸易动态效应，并构建贸易引力模型实证检验建立中日韩自由贸易区的贸易效应，最后对促成中日韩自由贸易区的建成提出了相关对策建议。通过研究得到的主要结论是：虽然中日韩自由贸易区的建立有经济和政治上的阻碍因素，不会在短期内一蹴而就，但并不意味着不可实现。自贸区的建立不仅能够让中日韩三国在贸易过程中减少贸易壁垒，使得三方的贸易额显著增长，而且能够在一定程度上促进三国贸易产品结构不断优化，产业内贸易水平得到提升，贸易创造效应明显。同时，从贸易引力模型的结果可知，自由贸易协定的签订能够产生明显的贸易扩大效应，中日韩三国更是有着地缘优势，中日韩自由贸易区的形成能够从多方面助推三国的经贸往来。
[Abstract]:Under the background of economic globalization, the accelerating pace of regional economic integration promotes the development of global regional economic and trade cooperation.The regional economic cooperation between the European Union and the North American Free Trade area, a mature regional economic integration organization, is an example for both developed and developing countries.East Asia as the third largest economy in the world, in order to seek greater economic benefits and economic development, regional economic cooperation is an inevitable trend.The total economic volume of the entire East Asian region is about 90 percent. China, which has a population of about 74 percent of the total population of East Asia, Japan and South Korea, have put the establishment of a China-Japan-ROK free trade zone on the agenda.The leaders of the three countries are conducting active consultations and negotiations on specific issues.The establishment of a free trade zone between China, Japan and South Korea will form a huge business circle with a gross domestic product and trade volume accounting for 20% of the world, which is not only conducive to the economic development of these three countries,And to promote East Asian economic cooperation and even the development of the world economy has important significance.On the basis of summarizing the domestic and foreign research results of China, Japan and Korea Free Trade area, based on comparative advantage theory and free trade area theory, this paper makes comprehensive use of macro analysis and micro analysis.Combining qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis with the method of index analysis, the feasibility of establishing China-Japan-Korea free trade zone is analyzed.Then it discusses the trade static effect and trade dynamic effect of constructing China-Japan-Korea free trade zone, and constructs trade gravity model to test the trade effect of establishing China-Japan-Korea free trade zone.Finally, the paper puts forward the relevant countermeasures and suggestions to promote the establishment of China, Japan and Korea Free Trade area.The main conclusion is that although the establishment of China, Japan and Korea Free Trade area has economic and political obstacles, it will not be achieved in a short time, but it does not mean that it is unattainable.The establishment of the Free Trade Zone can not only reduce the trade barriers between China, Japan and South Korea in the course of trade, and make the trade volume of the three countries increase significantly, but also promote the continuous optimization of the product structure of the three countries' trade to a certain extent.The level of intra-industry trade has been improved, and the effect of trade creation is obvious.At the same time, from the results of the trade gravity model, we can see that the signing of the free trade agreement can produce obvious trade expansion effect, and the three countries of China, Japan and South Korea have geographical advantages.The formation of a free trade zone between China, Japan and South Korea can boost economic and trade exchanges among the three countries in many ways.
【学位授予单位】：湘潭大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7;F753.126;F753.13

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