西北地区产业变迁与城市化发展研究

发布时间：2018-04-13 00:21

本文选题：产业变迁 + 城市化发展　；参考：《兰州大学》2014年博士论文

【摘要】：产业变迁和城市化发展是区域经济增长过程中重要的内容,也是资源合理配置的必然路径。改革开放以来,中国的产业变迁和城市化发展取得了长足进步,但区域间经济发展的非平衡性也日渐凸显。西北地区作为中国经济欠发达区域,无论是产业变迁还是城市化发展均处于较为落后的局面,在全国部分地区已实现高度的产业和城市化发展的背景下,如何促进欠发达区域尤其是西北地区产业变迁和城市化发展,对于中国实现整体的产业革新和城市化进程的深入均有着重要意义,同时也是促进区域经济均衡发展的重要内容。本文通过产业变迁和城市化发展的理论梳理,对二者的关系进行了深入讨论,发现产业变迁与城市化发展间存在着相互适应、相互促进的关系。依托这一重要关系,在对西北地区产业变迁和城市化发展进行历史回顾和现状分析的基础上,通过产业就业和产业集聚视角分析了西北地区产业变迁对城市化发展的驱动机制和效应,通过空间视角分析了西北地区城市化发展对产业结构演变和产业升级的回馈路径及范围,并对二者间的互动关系进行了总结,最后利用综合指标体系对西北五省区产业变迁和城市化发展之间的协调度进行了评价。通过上述研究,得出以下主要结论。第一,西北地区产业变迁和城市化发展取得了较大的进步,但与全国水平间差距明显,处于较为落后的状况,同时产业变迁和城市化发展的区内空间非均衡性较为明显,实现区内整体协调增长的压力较大。第二,通过产业就业视角分析了产业变迁对城市化发展的推动效应,发现由于产业内部结构和外部就业环境的种种制约,西北区产业与就业偏离度较大,导致产业结构演变对城市化发展的驱动作用有限。利用空间统计学方法分析产业集聚对城市人口集聚的影响,发现西北地区产业集聚与城市人口集聚具有高度的协同变化和明显的空间耦合性,同时产业集聚导致城市人口在城市密集区域集中,形成西北地区城市化发展中城市人口空间分布的非均衡现象。进一步利用面板误差修正模型分析后发现,西北地区产业结构演变导致大城市规模增长快于中小城市,造成城市化发展中城市规模增长的分异。第三,西北地区城市化发展对产业结构演变的推动较弱,并存在明显的空间自相关性,通过构建空间计量面板模型进行研究后发现西北地区整体经济发展水平滞后、财政能力薄弱、较为封闭的市场环境和区域开发强度、区域开放程度、产业集聚水平存在空间竞争效应是其主要原因,同时利用空间阈值权重矩阵,对西北地区城市化发展对于产业升级的促进效应进行空间计量研究后发现,西北地区城市化发展对产业升级的空间溢出效应存在明显的空间衰减,且其空间溢出半径较小,导致城市密集区产业联动升级的效应明显,而城市稀疏区这一效应并不明显。第四,利用面板向量自回归模型对西北地区五省区产业变迁与城市化发展的互动关系进行了进一步的分析和总结,发现西北地区产业变迁与城市化发展的关系主要体现为工业化进程与城市化发展间的互动机制,同时利用综合指标体系和熵权法对西北五省区产业变迁与城市化发展的协调程度进行评价和分析,发现西北地区产业变迁和城市化发展的整体协调性较低,一定程度上影响了二者间的互动效应。最后基于西北地区产业变迁与城市化发展相互影响、相互促进的基本关系,提出在促进西北地区产业和城市化发展过程中将二者分割开来存在经济效率损失的结论,应将二者有效结合,利用二者相互间的影响不断推动二者发展,并实现区内均衡增长。
[Abstract]:Industry changes and the development of city is an important content in the process of regional economic growth, but also an inevitable path for the rational allocation of resources. Since the reform and opening up, changing industry and city development Chinese has made considerable progress, but the imbalance of regional economic development is gradually dulgy. Northwest as China in underdeveloped area no matter what the industry changes or city development are in a relatively backward situation in some areas of the country has achieved high industry and city development background, how to promote the underdeveloped areas especially industrial transformation and city development in the northwest region, to achieve China industry innovation and development of the whole city has important meaning, and it is also an important content to promote the balanced development of regional economy.
This paper combs the theory of industrial transformation and city development, the relationship between the two is discussed deeply, found that the industrial transition and city development are to adapt to each other, and promote each other. Relying on this important relationship, based on the analysis of the history and current situation of the industry change in Northwest China and the development of the city last, through industry employment and Industrial Agglomeration Perspective analyzes the driving mechanism and effect of industrial transformation in the northwest to the city development, through the spatial perspective feedback path and scope of the northwest city development on the evolution of industrial structure and industrial upgrading, and the relationship between the two is summarized, finally the comprehensive utilization the index system of coordination degree between the five provinces in Northwest and change industrial city development was evaluated.
Through the above study, the following main conclusions are drawn.
First, changing industry and city development in Northwest China has made great progress, but the gap with the national level obviously, in a relatively backward situation, at the same time changing industry and City Development Zone Spatial disequilibrium is obvious, to achieve the overall coordinated growth pressure area is larger.
Second, through the perspective of industrial employment and industry analysis of the changes of city development promoting effect, found that due to various constraints of industrial internal structure and external employment environment, northwest region industry and employment deviation is large, resulting in the evolution of industrial structure to drive the city development with limited. Using spatial statistical methods to analyze the effects of industrial agglomeration on city the concentration of population, found in the northwest industrial agglomeration agglomeration and city population coupling with highly coordinated changes and obvious, and industrial agglomeration in the city population in the city area, the formation of spatial population distribution in the northwest city city in the development of non equilibrium phenomena. Further using the panel error correction model analysis found that lead to the scale of growth in the city faster than small city industrial structure evolution of the northwest region, resulting in the development of city scale city The difference in growth.
Third, the evolution of the industrial structure to promote the development of the northwest city is weak, and there is obvious spatial autocorrelation, by constructing the study of spatial econometric panel model found that the overall level of economic development in Northwest China lag, weak financial ability, relatively closed market environment and regional development intensity, regional openness, the level of industrial agglomeration exists the space competition effect is the main cause, while using space threshold weight matrix, in the northwest region of the city development for promoting industrial upgrading effect of spatial econometric study found that the northwest city development has obvious spatial attenuation of spatial spillover effects of industrial upgrading, and the spatial spillover effect of small radius in the city populated area the upgrading of industry linkage is obvious, and the effect of city sparse area is not obvious.
Fourth, since the regression model of the interaction between the five provinces in Northwest China and the changes of industrial city development has been analyzed and summarized by using panel vector, found the relationship of industrial transition and city development in Northwest China is mainly reflected the interaction mechanism of the process of industrialization and the development of the city, at the same time using the comprehensive index system and entropy method the change of the coordination degree of the five provinces of northwest industry and city development evaluation and analysis, found that the industry changes and city development in the northwest region overall coordination is low, to a certain extent affected the interaction effect between the two.
Finally, based on the mutual influence of industry change in Northwest China and city development, the basic relationship of mutual promotion, put forward in the promotion of the industry in the northwest and the city development process of the two separate economic efficiency loss results, should be effective combination of the two, using two among the two continue to promote development, and implementation in the area of balanced growth.

【学位授予单位】：兰州大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.27;F127

【参考文献】