基于韧性的灾后区域经济增长模式研究——以汶川地震为例

发布时间：2018-04-14 23:27

本文选题：经济韧性 + 增长模式　；参考：《现代城市研究》2017年09期

【摘要】：韧性提升是区域可持续发展的重要内容,在灾害频发使得区域经济发展面临巨大压力的背景下,提高经济韧性已成为降低冲击风险的重大措施之一。我国对韧性的关注起步较晚,经济韧性的研究还处于定性引入阶段。随着学术界对韧性重视程度的提升,对地区经济韧性分析和评价的实证就显得尤为重要。因此,本文以汶川地震为例,以GDP作为衡量标准,从宏观经济层面对区域经济韧性展开定量分析,扩展了已有4种经济增长模式,探究得出研究区在经历地震冲击后的8种经济增长模式,同时以经济韧性指数作为衡量指标,分析比较不同区域的经济韧性差异及其产生原因,希望为提高区域经济韧性、减少冲击风险、促进区域经济稳定发展提供参考。
[Abstract]:Improving resilience is an important part of regional sustainable development. Under the background of frequent disasters and great pressure on regional economic development, improving economic resilience has become one of the important measures to reduce the impact risk.The research of economic toughness is still in the stage of qualitative introduction.With the increasing emphasis on resilience in academic circles, the empirical analysis and evaluation of regional economic resilience is particularly important.Therefore, taking the Wenchuan earthquake as an example, taking GDP as the measurement standard, this paper carries out quantitative analysis of the regional economic resilience from the macroeconomic level, and expands the existing four economic growth models.It is concluded that eight economic growth models in the study area after the earthquake shock. At the same time, the economic resilience index is taken as the index to analyze and compare the differences of economic resilience of different regions and their causes, in order to improve the regional economic resilience.Reduce the risk of impact and promote the stable development of regional economy to provide reference.
【作者单位】：四川省城乡规划设计研究院;南京大学建筑与城市规划学院;南京大学城市规划与设计系;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目“基于多智能体系统的城市洪水风险的可接受度研究”(项目编号:41071325)
【分类号】：F127;X4

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