京津冀协同区趋同类型探索

发布时间：2018-05-01 13:16

本文选题：京津冀协同区 + 趋同类型　；参考：《中国流通经济》2015年12期

【摘要】：协同区、一体化等突破行政区划界限的经济合作区日渐成为区域经济发展的主流形态,但初始条件的差异使存在协同可能性的地区将以不同的渠道收敛于趋于划一化发展的稳态,即趋同。聚焦京津冀地区,相似的发展因素已经夯实了协同发展的根基,准确把握其趋同类型是科学打造新常态时期中国"新三极"的体现。经过对1993—2013年发展数据的分析,从长远来看,京津冀地区将以工业产业链为纽带趋于绝对β趋同,必须高度关注房地产业和金融业发展;短期内,京津冀地区满足条件β趋同,表明有限度的政府介入和参与是推动其协同发展的占优主体和方式。要根除当前房地产与金融对京津冀协同发展的阻滞,必须转换顶层设计理念和角度,应对结构性减速的新常态,供给侧理念是激活经济增长点的充分必要条件。在房地产领域,政府应当有限度地介入,旨在将房地产市场价格高企和楼盘空置的矛盾彻底转嫁于房地产开发商,从供给角度创新发展方式,疏解京津冀房市供大于求的高价泡沫对经济发展的潜在威胁。在金融领域,政府有限度的参与极为必要,供给侧理念体现为将金融复归至政府和经济之间的纽带地位、提升金融在经济发展中的主动性、政府把握金融业发展方向等。
[Abstract]:Economic cooperation zones that break through the boundaries of administrative divisions, such as cooperative areas and integration zones, are becoming the mainstream form of regional economic development. However, due to the difference of initial conditions, the regions with the possibility of coordination will converge to the steady state of uniform development in different channels, that is, convergence. Focusing on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, similar development factors have consolidated the foundation of coordinated development, and accurately grasping its convergent types is the embodiment of the scientific construction of the "new three poles" in China during the new normal period. Based on the analysis of the development data from 1993 to 2013, in the long run, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region will be bound by the industrial industrial chain as a link towards absolute 尾 convergence, and must pay close attention to the development of the real estate industry and the financial industry. In the short term, The convergence of conditional 尾 in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region indicates that limited government intervention and participation is the dominant subject and way to promote its coordinated development. In order to eradicate the block of the coordination development of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei caused by real estate and finance, we must change the top design idea and angle, and deal with the new normal of structural deceleration. The supply-side concept is the necessary and sufficient condition to activate the economic growth point. In the field of real estate, the government should intervene in a limited way in order to completely transfer the contradiction between the high price of the real estate market and the vacant property market to the real estate developers, and to innovate the way of development from the perspective of supply. Unraveling the potential threat to economic development caused by the oversupply of housing in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. In the field of finance, the limited participation of government is very necessary. The supply-side concept embodies the return of finance to the position of link between government and economy, the promotion of the initiative of finance in economic development, and the government's understanding of the direction of development of financial industry.
【作者单位】：兰州财经大学经济学院;
【基金】：兰州市科技局规划项目“丝绸之路经济带兰州新区功能定位研究” 甘肃省哲学社会科学规划项目“‘丝绸之路经济带’甘肃自我发展能力研究”(项目编号:14YB060) 甘肃省区域循环经济实验室项目的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F127

【参考文献】