中国对东盟出口增长的驱动因素分析

发布时间：2018-05-05 04:09

本文选题：中国-东盟自由贸易区 + 贸易影响因素　；参考：《安徽财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：在当前国际金融危机影响尚未结束、贸易保护主义不断抬头的背景下,自贸区是区域内国家抱团取暖、抵御风险的重要合作平台,中国—东盟自贸区的成立会进一步减少贸易壁垒,其一体化进程和水平非常深远和广阔,中国和东盟都将从中获益。对亚洲乃至世界格局产生深远影响,也加快了中国区域合作的步伐,是经济全球化的大势所趋,中国-东盟自由贸易区的建立不仅可以减少中国对美国、日本、欧洲市场的依赖性,同时也有利于中国出口市场多元化战略的进程。本文以中国对东盟出口增长的驱动因素为研究对象,旨在确定影响中国对东盟贸易规模的诸多因素及其影响程度,以期为促进中国加入中国-东盟自由贸易区后的经贸关系健康发展提出有针对性的政策建议。文章从中国-东盟自由贸易区的介绍以及内部关系入手,介绍了中国与东盟国家的市场和产品上的出口竞争性和互补性。刻画了各自国家相对优势的产业和出口产品。借助于贸易引力模型进行实证检验,最终实证结果显示,贸易对象国和中国经济规模之比和贸易国人均GDP与中国人均GDP差额的绝对值对中国对东盟出口贸易额增加的影响最为显著,中国与贸易伙伴国之间的对外直接投资、对象国GDP、共同的语言以及区域经济合作对中国与东盟间的产品贸易有积极作用,两国间地理距离对产品出口贸易有阻碍作用。因此,为促进中国对东盟的出口贸易持续健康增长,在开拓和发展国际市场时不能一概而论,应该根据不同市场特点采取不同发展策略最后提出相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:With the impact of the current international financial crisis not yet over and trade protectionism on the rise, the FTA is an important cooperative platform for countries in the region to stay together and resist risks. The establishment of China-ASEAN Free Trade area will further reduce trade barriers, and its integration process and level is very profound and broad, China and ASEAN will benefit from it. The establishment of the China-ASEAN Free Trade area will not only reduce China's impact on the United States and Japan, but also accelerate the pace of regional cooperation between China and the world. It is the general trend of economic globalization that the establishment of the China-ASEAN Free Trade area will not only reduce China's impact on the United States and Japan. The dependence of European market also benefits the process of diversification strategy of Chinese export market at the same time. This paper takes the driving factors of China's export growth to ASEAN as the research object, in order to determine the factors that affect the scale and extent of China's trade with ASEAN. In order to promote the healthy development of economic and trade relations after China's entry into the China-ASEAN Free Trade area, this paper puts forward targeted policy recommendations. Starting with the introduction of China-ASEAN Free Trade area and its internal relations, this paper introduces the export competitiveness and complementarity between China and ASEAN countries in their markets and products. Describes the comparative advantages of their respective industries and export products. With the aid of the trade gravity model, the final empirical results show that, The ratio of trade target countries and China's economic scale and the absolute value of the per capita GDP and China's per capita GDP difference of trading countries have the most significant effect on the increase of China's export trade to ASEAN, and the outward direct investment between China and its trading partners is the most significant. The target country's GDP, common language and regional economic cooperation play a positive role in the product trade between China and ASEAN, and the geographical distance between the two countries hinders the product export trade. Therefore, in order to promote the sustained and healthy growth of China's export trade to ASEAN, we should not generalize when we open up and develop the international market, we should adopt different development strategies according to the characteristics of different markets and finally put forward corresponding policy suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：安徽财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7

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