FDI溢出效应对APEC区域经济收敛的影响

发布时间：2018-05-11 22:06

本文选题：APEC + 经济收敛　；参考：《暨南大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着区域经济一体化的不断推进和升级,亚太经合组织(APEC)成员的经济联系愈发紧密,区域经济地理空间溢出效应促进域内成员经济增长的趋同现象愈发明显。本文从区域经济收敛角度出发,首先通过截面数据的Moran’I指数、σ和β收敛法考察APEC区域的经济趋同态势以及域内的经济集群趋势。接着采用空间动态面板数据模型SAR、SEM、SDM进一步验证该区域的经济收敛趋势,并对比分析三个模型结果,然后通过选择出的最优模型重点分析域内FDI产生的经济技术空间溢出效应对区域经济趋同的影响程度。分析结果显示,APEC成立之前,该区域经济既不存在空间自相关性也没有呈现σ和β趋同,而在成立之后,APEC区域经济出现明显的空间自相关性以及σ和β收敛趋势,同时还存在明显的俱乐部趋同。空间杜宾模型(SDM)对实际的趋同效应情况的解释能力较占优势,多种经济因素影响着APEC区域经济趋同,其中域内FDI引致的经济技术空间溢出效应对收敛态势具有较强的正向促进作用。根据效应分解结果,直接效应为正,间接效应为负,表明域内邻国的经济增长将有助于本国经济以更大的幅度发生增长,使得区域成员的经济水平逐渐趋同。但由于趋同速度目前较缓慢,因此需采取相关政策措施促进和升级域内成员的经济合作水平,加快区域经济收敛。
[Abstract]:With the continuous promotion and upgrading of regional economic integration, the economic linkage of the members of the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) is becoming more and more closely. The convergence of economic growth in regional economic and geographical spatial spillovers is becoming more and more obvious. From the angle of regional economic convergence, this paper first passes the Moran 'I index, sigma and beta of the cross section data. The convergence method is used to investigate the economic convergence situation of the APEC region and the trend of economic cluster in the region. Then, the spatial dynamic panel data model SAR, SEM, and SDM are used to further verify the economic convergence trend of the region, and the results of the three models are compared and analyzed, and then the economic and technological space spillover produced by FDI in the domain is analyzed by the selected optimal model. The results show that before the establishment of APEC, there is neither spatial autocorrelation nor Sigma and beta convergence before the establishment of the regional economy, but after the establishment, the APEC regional economy has obvious spatial autocorrelation and the convergence of sigma and beta, and there are also obvious club convergence. The interpretation ability of the object model (SDM) is more advantageous to the actual convergence effect, and many economic factors affect the convergence of the APEC regional economy. The spatial spillover effect of the economic technology caused by FDI in the domain has a strong positive effect on the convergence situation. The economic growth of the neighbouring countries will help to increase the economy of its own country and increase the economic level of the members of the region. However, because of the slow convergence rate, it is necessary to adopt relevant policies and measures to promote and upgrade the level of economic cooperation among the members of the region, and to accelerate regional economic convergence.

【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F114.4;F831.6

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