区域经济与交通运输发展协同性评价模型研究

发布时间：2018-05-22 19:26

本文选题：运输经济 + 协同发展　；参考：《公路交通科技》2017年11期

【摘要】：交通运输与区域经济协调发展是国民经济各部门协调发展的前提。但目前对于两者的研究多定位于交通运输发展是否拉动和支撑社会经济的发展,而非从系统的角度分析二者的关系。为此,本文首先分析国内外区域经济与交通运输协同发展研究取得成绩与存在的问题,分析区域经济发展与交通运输协同发展的重要性与本质含义,然后从系统分析的角度出发,构建了反映经济规模、经济结构、经济效益性的7个代表区域经济子系统的评价指标和反映交通运输规模、交通运输结构、交通运输发展性的7个代表交通运输系统的评价指标,形成了区域经济与交通运输协同发展的综合评价指标体系,并利用主成分分析法分别找出了衡量区域经济发展水平和交通运输水平的主因子,利用这些因子构建了交通运输与区域经济动态协同发展评价模型与静态协同发展评价模型,该模型客观地计算交通运输与区域经济发展的协同度,能够直观地反映交通运输与区域经济之间的协同关系。最后,为验证模型的有效性,以新疆为例对新疆经济与交通运输的发展协同度进行了评价,对评价结果进行了合理的分析,并提出了加大对新疆交通基础设施建设的资金支持力度,提升区域之间的通达性,促使两系统协同发展,以及加强疆内交通运输网络结构调整优化的建议。
[Abstract]:The coordinated development of transportation and regional economy is the premise of coordinated development of various departments of national economy. At present, however, most of the researches focus on whether the development of transportation can pull and support the development of social economy, rather than analyzing the relationship between them from a systematic point of view. Therefore, this paper first analyzes the achievements and problems in the research of regional economy and transportation coordination development at home and abroad, and analyzes the importance and essential meaning of regional economic development and transportation coordination development. Then, from the point of view of system analysis, the evaluation indexes of seven representative regional economic subsystems, which reflect the economic scale, economic structure and economic benefits, are constructed, and the scale and structure of transportation are reflected. The seven indicators of transportation development represent the evaluation index of transportation system, forming a comprehensive evaluation index system of regional economy and transportation coordinated development. The principal component analysis method is used to find out the main factors to measure the level of regional economic development and the level of transportation. Using these factors, the evaluation model of dynamic cooperative development of transportation and regional economy and the evaluation model of static cooperative development are constructed. The model can objectively calculate the degree of synergy between transportation and regional economic development, and can directly reflect the synergy between transportation and regional economy. Finally, in order to verify the validity of the model, taking Xinjiang as an example, this paper evaluates the degree of synergy between the development of Xinjiang economy and transportation, and makes a reasonable analysis of the evaluation results. The paper also puts forward some suggestions to strengthen the financial support for Xinjiang transportation infrastructure construction, to enhance the accessibility between regions, to promote the coordinated development of the two systems, and to strengthen the adjustment and optimization of traffic and transportation network structure in Xinjiang.
【作者单位】：北京交通大学交通运输学院;
【分类号】：F127;F512.7

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