台风与区域经济损失关联性评价——以广西为例

发布时间：2018-06-08 21:04

本文选题：台风损失 + 气象经济　；参考：《技术经济与管理研究》2017年11期

【摘要】：投入产出模型经常用于分析新产品部门之间的相互影响,主要是基于社会各个部门之间的相互关联关系,采用这一方法来评估台风损失的关联性就具有了理论基础。文章正是基于投入产出模型,首先对评估台风灾害风险的理论和方法进行了梳理,讨论了广西台风风险的评估过程。然后基于投入产出模型分析指出台风对广西农业产生的影响,利用部门之间的关联性引致其它产品部门发生的关联经济损失。为了得到更加具有代表性的数据分析结果,利用广西42部门投入产出表数据,采用2005-2011年的年平均数值,以此避免台风极值年份(如2004年)带来的极端影响。在此基础上评估台风灾害对劳动者报酬、国民收入、就业等方面的影响,对有关部门制定防灾防损政策、减少台风灾害造成的经济损失有一定的现实指导意义。
[Abstract]:The input-output model is often used to analyze the interaction between new product sectors, mainly based on the interrelationship between different sectors of society. This method to evaluate the relevance of typhoon losses has a theoretical basis. Based on the input-output model, this paper firstly combs the theory and method of evaluating typhoon disaster risk, and discusses the evaluation process of typhoon risk in Guangxi. Based on the analysis of input-output model, the paper points out the impact of typhoon on agriculture in Guangxi, and makes use of the correlation between departments to cause related economic losses in other product sectors. In order to obtain more representative data analysis results, using the data of Guangxi 42 input-output table, the annual average value of 2005-2011 is adopted to avoid the extreme influence brought by typhoon extreme value year (such as 2004). On this basis, the impact of typhoon disaster on workers' remuneration, national income, employment and so on is evaluated. It is of practical significance for relevant departments to formulate disaster prevention and loss prevention policies and to reduce the economic losses caused by typhoon disasters.
【作者单位】：广西财经学院金融学院;
【基金】：“广西高等学校数理金融高水平创新团队及卓越学者计划”资助项目广西财经学院数量经济学自治区级重点学科、数量经济学自治区级重点实验室、广西经济预测与决策中心开放性联合招标课题(2015ZDKT05)
【分类号】：F127;P444

【相似文献】