中韩自贸区(FTA)的贸易效应研究
本文选题:中韩FTA + 贸易效应 ; 参考:《首都经济贸易大学》2017年硕士论文
【摘要】:为了适应经济全球化和区域经济一体化的趋势,中国积极与其他国家开展区域经济合作,建立贸易关系。自2005年,中国与智利签订第一个自由贸易协定以来,中国陆续与周边国家缔结自贸协定,并将其作为推动贸易自由化的重要手段。截至目前为止,中国已签署了14个自贸协定,其中已实施12个自贸协定,涉及22个国家和地区,自贸伙伴遍及亚洲、拉美、大洋洲、欧洲等地区。其中,中韩自贸协定涵盖领域最广,涉及贸易额最大。中韩自贸区谈判于2012年5月正式启动,2015年6月1日,两国政府正式签订《中韩自由贸易协定》,同年12月20日正式生效,并规定了20年的过渡期。中韩两国互为彼此重要的贸易伙伴国,贸易关系密切。中韩FTA的建立会对两国双边贸易产生重要影响,研究其贸易效应有助于两国充分利用自贸区建立带来的机遇,发现中国双边贸易中存在的问题,为实现两国的双赢提供政策性建议。本文首先回顾了区域经济一体化的相关理论,对国内外学者对这方面的研究进行了综述,梳理了中韩FTA的进程,并总结了其对中韩两国的重要性;其次,用定量分析的方法分析了中韩两国双边贸易的现状,用实证分析法研究了中韩FTA对中韩进出口贸易的具体影响;最后对上述研究做了总结,得出结论,并为更好地利用中韩FTA带来的机遇,有效应对中韩两国贸易中可能会遇到的问题,促进两国双边贸易的发展提出了政策建议。本文得出的结论有:中韩贸易关系紧密,产业内贸易水平不断提高,双方既存在互补性又存在竞争性;中韩FTA的建立对两国之间的双边贸易将会具有明显的促进作用,还会改变两国的贸易及产业结构,并有助于推动两国FTA战略的发展。提出的政策建议有:积极发挥比较优势,拓展出口增长空间;鼓励技术进步,加速产业升级;大力发展产业内贸易,改变中韩两国的分工格局;完善配套措施,使双边贸易更加便利;建立争端解决机制,保证自贸区稳定发展。
[Abstract]:In order to adapt to the trend of economic globalization and regional economic integration, China actively develops regional economic cooperation and establishes trade relations with other countries. Since China signed the first free trade agreement with Chile in 2005, China has concluded free trade agreements with neighboring countries one after another as an important means to promote trade liberalization. So far, China has signed 14 free trade agreements, of which 12 have been implemented, involving 22 countries and regions, with free trade partners in Asia, Latin America, Oceania and Europe. Among them, China-Korea Free Trade Agreement covers the most extensive areas, involving the largest volume of trade. The FTA negotiations between China and South Korea were officially launched in May 2012. On June 1, 2015, the two governments formally signed the Free Trade Agreement between China and South Korea, which came into effect on December 20 of the same year, and stipulated a transitional period of 20 years. China and South Korea are important trading partners and have close trade relations. The establishment of China-South Korea FTA will have an important impact on bilateral trade between the two countries. Studying its trade effect will help the two countries to make full use of the opportunities brought by the establishment of the Free Trade Zone, and find out the problems existing in the bilateral trade between China and China. To achieve a win-win situation between the two countries to provide policy advice. This paper first reviews the relevant theories of regional economic integration, summarizes the domestic and foreign scholars' research on this aspect, combs the process of China-Korea FTA, and summarizes its importance to China and South Korea. This paper analyzes the current situation of bilateral trade between China and South Korea by quantitative analysis, studies the specific influence of China-Korea FTA on the import and export trade of China and South Korea by empirical analysis, finally summarizes the above research and draws a conclusion. In order to make better use of the opportunities brought by China-Korea FTA, to effectively deal with the problems that may be encountered in Sino-Korean trade, and to promote the development of bilateral trade between China and South Korea, some policy suggestions are put forward. The conclusions of this paper are as follows: the trade relationship between China and South Korea is close, the level of intra-industry trade is improving, both sides are complementary and competitive, the establishment of China-Korea FTA will obviously promote the bilateral trade between the two countries. It will also change the trade and industrial structure of the two countries and contribute to the development of the FTA strategy between the two countries. The policy proposals include: actively exerting comparative advantages and expanding export growth space; encouraging technological progress and accelerating industrial upgrading; vigorously developing intra-industry trade; changing the division of labor between China and South Korea; and perfecting supporting measures. To make bilateral trade more convenient; to establish a dispute settlement mechanism to ensure the stable development of the free trade zone.
【学位授予单位】:首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F752.7;F753.126
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