中印出口东盟商品的相似性研究
发布时间:2018-11-05 13:32
【摘要】:中国经济改革以来保持了30多年的高速增长,,而始于20世纪90年代的印度经济改革和开放同样令世界瞩目,经济增速多年来成为在全球仅次于中国的第二大规模经济体。进入二十一世纪,世界上最大的变化之一就是中印这两个最大的发展中国家的崛起。中国和印度作为亚洲的邻国,近年来,尤其是金融危机爆发以来,两国领导人频繁接触,政治和经贸领域的合作不断加强。过去十年是中国和印度持续快速发展的十年,也是中印关系不断提升、取得大发展的十年。 然而,除了双边的贸易合作,中印也是亚洲地区主要的出口国,在两国人口、市场、土地、资源等都具有比较优势的前提下,两国在世界商品和服务市场上都具有巨大的竞争关系。在亚洲地区,中国和印度分别与东盟于2002年11月和2009年9月签订自由贸易区协议,让东亚地区成为中印最新的利益交汇点。虽然当前的印度-东盟自由贸易区(The Indian-ASEAN Free Trade Area, IAFTA)还远不及中国东盟自由贸易区(China andASEAN Free TradeArea, CAFTA)那样完备,但是IAFTA的实施是印度-东盟合作进入实质阶段的标志事件,它不仅是区域主义在亚洲的一次实践,同时也是印度“东向政策”的重要环节。可以肯定的是:在东盟,印度与中国将面临更多的贸易竞争。 为了解金融危机后中印出口商品的竞争态势,本文以国际区域经济合作中的“轮轴-辐条”为理论基础,以东盟为“轮轴”,通过实证研究中印出口商品的相似性等问题。本文研究发现,中国出口产品的显示性比较优势高于印度;中印出口商品结构的相似性较低,总体上工业制成品相似性高于初级产品;中印出口商品的互补关系比较强,金融危机后中印出口商品的竞争性增强。因此,为了避免在第三方市场上的盲目竞争,促进两国外贸的持续增长,中印要制定“共享性增长”的策略,并加快构建两国共同参与的自由贸易区。
[Abstract]:China's economic reform has maintained a rapid growth rate for more than 30 years, while India's economic reform and opening up, which began in the 1990s, have attracted the attention of the world, making it the second largest economy in the world after China for many years. In the 21 th century, one of the greatest changes in the world was the rise of the two largest developing countries, China and India. China and India are neighbors of Asia. In recent years, especially since the outbreak of the financial crisis, the leaders of the two countries have been in frequent contact and cooperation in the political and economic fields has been continuously strengthened. The past decade has been a decade of sustained and rapid growth in China and India, as well as a decade in which relations between China and India have improved. However, in addition to bilateral trade cooperation, China and India are also major exporters in Asia. Under the premise that the two countries have comparative advantages in terms of population, market, land, resources, etc. Both countries have a huge competitive relationship in the world market for goods and services. In Asia, China and India signed free-trade agreements with ASEAN in November 2002 and September 2009, respectively, making East Asia the newest meeting point of interest between China and India. Although the current India-ASEAN Free Trade area (The Indian-ASEAN Free Trade Area, IAFTA) is far less complete than the China-ASEAN Free Trade area (China andASEAN Free TradeArea, CAFTA), However, the implementation of IAFTA is the symbol of India-ASEAN cooperation entering into substantive stage. It is not only a practice of regionalism in Asia, but also an important link of India's "eastward policy". To be sure, India and China will face more trade competition in ASEAN. In order to understand the competitive situation of Sino-Indian export commodities after the financial crisis, this paper takes the "wheel-spokes" in the international regional economic cooperation as the theoretical basis, the ASEAN as the "wheel-axle", and studies the similarity of Sino-Indian export commodities through empirical research. It is found that the comparative advantage of China's export products is higher than that of India's, the similarity of Chinese and Indian export commodities is lower, and the similarity of industrial manufactured goods is higher than that of primary products. The complementary relationship between Chinese and Indian export commodities is relatively strong, and the competitiveness of Chinese and Indian export commodities has increased after the financial crisis. Therefore, in order to avoid blind competition in the third party market and promote the sustained growth of foreign trade between the two countries, China and India should formulate a strategy of "shared growth" and accelerate the construction of a free trade zone in which the two countries participate.
【学位授予单位】:广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F752.62;F753.51
本文编号:2312241
[Abstract]:China's economic reform has maintained a rapid growth rate for more than 30 years, while India's economic reform and opening up, which began in the 1990s, have attracted the attention of the world, making it the second largest economy in the world after China for many years. In the 21 th century, one of the greatest changes in the world was the rise of the two largest developing countries, China and India. China and India are neighbors of Asia. In recent years, especially since the outbreak of the financial crisis, the leaders of the two countries have been in frequent contact and cooperation in the political and economic fields has been continuously strengthened. The past decade has been a decade of sustained and rapid growth in China and India, as well as a decade in which relations between China and India have improved. However, in addition to bilateral trade cooperation, China and India are also major exporters in Asia. Under the premise that the two countries have comparative advantages in terms of population, market, land, resources, etc. Both countries have a huge competitive relationship in the world market for goods and services. In Asia, China and India signed free-trade agreements with ASEAN in November 2002 and September 2009, respectively, making East Asia the newest meeting point of interest between China and India. Although the current India-ASEAN Free Trade area (The Indian-ASEAN Free Trade Area, IAFTA) is far less complete than the China-ASEAN Free Trade area (China andASEAN Free TradeArea, CAFTA), However, the implementation of IAFTA is the symbol of India-ASEAN cooperation entering into substantive stage. It is not only a practice of regionalism in Asia, but also an important link of India's "eastward policy". To be sure, India and China will face more trade competition in ASEAN. In order to understand the competitive situation of Sino-Indian export commodities after the financial crisis, this paper takes the "wheel-spokes" in the international regional economic cooperation as the theoretical basis, the ASEAN as the "wheel-axle", and studies the similarity of Sino-Indian export commodities through empirical research. It is found that the comparative advantage of China's export products is higher than that of India's, the similarity of Chinese and Indian export commodities is lower, and the similarity of industrial manufactured goods is higher than that of primary products. The complementary relationship between Chinese and Indian export commodities is relatively strong, and the competitiveness of Chinese and Indian export commodities has increased after the financial crisis. Therefore, in order to avoid blind competition in the third party market and promote the sustained growth of foreign trade between the two countries, China and India should formulate a strategy of "shared growth" and accelerate the construction of a free trade zone in which the two countries participate.
【学位授予单位】:广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F752.62;F753.51
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 史智宇;出口相似度与贸易竞争:中国与东盟的比较研究[J];财贸经济;2003年09期
2 朱文静;顾江;;我国文化贸易的结构与竞争力之研究[J];国际商务(对外经济贸易大学学报);2010年04期
3 李天华;中国与印度经贸关系发展分析[J];国际贸易问题;2004年01期
4 丁平;徐松;;中印服务贸易国际竞争力比较研究[J];国际贸易问题;2007年08期
5 成蓉;程惠芳;;中印贸易关系:竞争或互补——基于商品贸易与服务贸易的全视角分析[J];国际贸易问题;2011年06期
6 赵有广;;我国对外文化贸易逆差及其原因分析[J];国际贸易;2006年10期
7 杨丽琳;;“金砖四国”服务贸易的竞争力与贸易相似度分析[J];国际经贸探索;2009年08期
8 鲁晓东;何昌周;;中国与发展中国家贸易结构的竞争和互补——基于南南合作的视角[J];国际经贸探索;2010年06期
9 林毅夫,李永军;比较优势、竞争优势与发展中国家的经济发展[J];管理世界;2003年07期
10 洪世勤;刘厚俊;叶玲;程永文;;拓展中国与主要新兴经济体国家的贸易关系——基于制成品出口技术结构的比较分析[J];财贸经济;2012年10期
本文编号:2312241
本文链接:https://www.wllwen.com/jingjilunwen/quyujingjilunwen/2312241.html