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中国区域建筑产业TFP变化趋势与影响机理的空间分析

发布时间:2018-12-17 04:21
【摘要】:中国经济的发展在区域上呈现出明显的不均衡性,,而这种差异性也同样体现在建筑产业。目前,建筑产业已经成为中国的第四大支柱产业,提升其产业的竞争力是促进区域经济发展最为有效的途径。然而,区域建筑产业差异性的长期存在和过分扩大不仅导致了建筑产业生产效率普遍偏低、呈现出梯次发展的趋势,而且也不利于资源的有效配置。因此,系统、全面、科学地分析建筑产业生产效率变化趋势及其影响机理,对优化产业结构,提高建筑产业的竞争力,促进中国建筑产业生产效率的整体协调发展有着重要的理论价值和现实意义。 本文的目的在于提出一套系统的研究方法实现建筑产业生产效率指标的选取、建筑产业TFP变化的度量、趋势以及影响机理的空间分析。为此,本文首先采用现金增加值法和面板数据模型组合的方法筛选出建筑产业投入和产出指标,并利用DEA-Malmquist指数法测算出2001-2011年中国区域建筑产业生产效率变化。然后,利用变异系数、Moran散点图和趋同效应指数分别从差异性、相关性、趋同性三个角度深入分析东、中、西三大区域及其区域内部建筑产业生产效率变化趋势。最后,在构建出建筑产业生产效率变化影响因素的基础上,利用GWR模型系统分析各影响因素对建筑产业生产效率变化的作用机理,进而提出相应的改善措施和建议。 研究发现中国建筑产业生产效率变化的差异性在不断增大;建筑产业TFP变化一直存在着空间自相关和空间异质性,但尚未形成较为稳定的空间格局;三大区域的建筑产业TFP变化存在着趋同效应,且这种效应在任意两个区域间存在明显的波动性。在影响因素方面,经济环境、建筑产业组织结构和技术水平三类影响因素对中国建筑产业生产效率变化有着显著的作用效果,且各大区域受到建筑产业组织结构的作用机理又呈现出差异性。
[Abstract]:China's economic development shows obvious imbalance in the region, and this difference is also reflected in the construction industry. At present, the construction industry has become the fourth pillar industry in China, and the most effective way to promote the development of regional economy is to improve the competitiveness of the industry. However, the long-term existence and excessive expansion of regional construction industry differences not only lead to the construction industry production efficiency is generally low, showing the trend of ladder development, but also not conducive to the effective allocation of resources. Therefore, a systematic, comprehensive and scientific analysis of the trend of production efficiency of the construction industry and its influence mechanism, to optimize the industrial structure, improve the competitiveness of the construction industry, It is of great theoretical and practical significance to promote the overall coordinated development of the production efficiency of China's construction industry. The purpose of this paper is to put forward a set of systematic research methods to realize the selection of production efficiency index of construction industry, the measurement of TFP change in construction industry, the trend and the spatial analysis of influence mechanism. Therefore, this paper first uses the method of cash added value and panel data model combination method to screen out the input and output index of construction industry, and calculates the production efficiency change of China's regional construction industry from 2001 to 2011 by using DEA-Malmquist index method. Then, the variation coefficient, Moran scatter plot and convergence effect index are used to analyze the trend of the production efficiency of the construction industry in the east, the middle and the west respectively from the three angles of difference, correlation and convergence. Finally, on the basis of constructing the influencing factors of the production efficiency of the construction industry, this paper systematically analyzes the mechanism of the influence factors on the change of the production efficiency of the construction industry by using GWR model, and then puts forward the corresponding improvement measures and suggestions. The research found that the difference of the production efficiency of Chinese construction industry is increasing, the change of construction industry TFP has always existed spatial autocorrelation and spatial heterogeneity, but has not yet formed a more stable spatial pattern; The change of TFP of construction industry in the three regions has the effect of convergence, and this effect is obviously fluctuating between any two regions. In terms of influencing factors, the economic environment, the structure of the construction industry and the level of technology have significant effects on the change of the production efficiency of China's construction industry. Moreover, the mechanism of the structure of the construction industry is different in different regions.
【学位授予单位】:天津大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F426.92;F224

【参考文献】

相关期刊论文 前10条

1 董悦;白玲;;我国建筑业的产业组织与产业绩效研究[J];北方经济;2006年07期

2 李延喜,郭晓e

本文编号:2383644


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