中国与欧盟贸易流量及影响因素研究
发布时间：2019-02-16 17:39
【摘要】：欧盟是世界上最大的区域经济集团，在全球具有举足轻重的地位，同时也是中国最重要的经贸合作伙伴之一。中欧贸易历史悠久且基础坚实，目前双方已经明确建立了全面战略伙伴关系，双边贸易自21世纪以来不断繁荣发展。但中欧贸易的繁荣发展也存在着一些问题，欧盟逆差持续扩大，贸易摩擦日益加剧，，这些在一定程度上阻碍了中欧贸易的发展。分析中欧贸易的影响因素，预测欧盟各国的贸易潜力，可以为科学管理中欧贸易提供依据，从而促进中欧贸易进一步健康发展。 本文的研究定位于中国对欧盟出口贸易在繁荣发展时期（2000年至今）的主要影响因素分析，主要分为三个部分：特点总结，因素分析及实证研究。首先，对中欧贸易的发展历程进行简要回顾，并依据中欧贸易在繁荣发展时期所呈现出的特点对中欧贸易现状进行总结。其次，结合国际贸易理论及中欧贸易的特点，提出可能影响中国对欧盟出口贸易流量的各种因素。最后，将影响因素量化并添加到贸易引力模型中去，以中国和欧盟主要的19个国家在2000-2011年的贸易数据为基础进行实证研究，依据实证研究的结果对中国向这19个欧盟国家出口的贸易潜力进行测算，并有针对性的提出促进中欧贸易持续发展的对策建议。
[Abstract]:The European Union (EU) is the largest regional economic group in the world. It plays an important role in the world and is also one of China's most important economic and trade partners. China-EU trade has a long history and solid foundation. At present, the two sides have clearly established a comprehensive strategic partnership, and bilateral trade has continued to flourish since the 21st century. However, there are also some problems in the prosperity of China-EU trade. The EU deficit continues to expand and trade frictions become more and more serious, which to some extent hinders the development of China-EU trade. Analyzing the influencing factors of China-EU trade and forecasting the trade potential of EU countries can provide the basis for scientific management of China-EU trade and promote the further healthy development of China-EU trade. This paper focuses on the analysis of the main influencing factors of China's export trade to the EU during the prosperous period (2000 to present), which is divided into three parts: characteristic summary, factor analysis and empirical research. First of all, the development of China-EU trade is reviewed briefly, and the current situation of China-EU trade is summarized according to the characteristics of China-EU trade in the prosperous period. Secondly, combined with the theory of international trade and the characteristics of China-EU trade, various factors which may affect the flow of China's export trade to the EU are put forward. Finally, the influence factors are quantified and added to the trade gravity model. The empirical study is based on the trade data of 19 major countries in China and the European Union from 2000 to 2011. According to the results of empirical research, the trade potential of China's export to the 19 EU countries is measured, and the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the sustainable development of China-EU trade are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：南京航空航天大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7;F755
本文编号：2424684
[Abstract]:The European Union (EU) is the largest regional economic group in the world. It plays an important role in the world and is also one of China's most important economic and trade partners. China-EU trade has a long history and solid foundation. At present, the two sides have clearly established a comprehensive strategic partnership, and bilateral trade has continued to flourish since the 21st century. However, there are also some problems in the prosperity of China-EU trade. The EU deficit continues to expand and trade frictions become more and more serious, which to some extent hinders the development of China-EU trade. Analyzing the influencing factors of China-EU trade and forecasting the trade potential of EU countries can provide the basis for scientific management of China-EU trade and promote the further healthy development of China-EU trade. This paper focuses on the analysis of the main influencing factors of China's export trade to the EU during the prosperous period (2000 to present), which is divided into three parts: characteristic summary, factor analysis and empirical research. First of all, the development of China-EU trade is reviewed briefly, and the current situation of China-EU trade is summarized according to the characteristics of China-EU trade in the prosperous period. Secondly, combined with the theory of international trade and the characteristics of China-EU trade, various factors which may affect the flow of China's export trade to the EU are put forward. Finally, the influence factors are quantified and added to the trade gravity model. The empirical study is based on the trade data of 19 major countries in China and the European Union from 2000 to 2011. According to the results of empirical research, the trade potential of China's export to the 19 EU countries is measured, and the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the sustainable development of China-EU trade are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：南京航空航天大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.7;F755
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前2条
1 谷克鉴;国际经济学对引力模型的开发与应用[J];世界经济;2001年02期
2 叶文佳;于津平;;欧盟对中国FDI与中欧贸易关系的实证研究[J];世界经济与政治论坛;2008年04期
本文编号：2424684
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