环渤海沿海地市低碳转型绩效评价与影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-01-10 16:44

本文关键词：环渤海沿海地市低碳转型绩效评价与影响因素分析　出处：《人文地理》2017年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于低碳转型的内涵,本文以环渤海17个沿海地市2005—2012年的面板数据为基础,构建环渤海沿海地市低碳转型的评价指标体系,运用集对分析法对其进行评价研究,并采用核密度估计模型及GIS空间分析技术对其结果进行时空差异分析,揭示其内在变化规律。研究结果表明:(1)自2005年到2012年,环渤海沿海地市低碳发展颓势明显,各地市低碳转型没有取得明显进展,各地市之间转型绩效的整体差距较大。(2)环渤海沿海地市经济增长在空间格局中并没有显著的变化,而在产业结构、能源利用、生态环境、发展支撑方面均呈现出反向变化的态势,说明低碳转型成效并不显著,仍然保持传统的发展态势。(3)环渤海沿海地市低碳转型绩效的时空差异是多种因素综合作用的结果,包括资金、人力与基础设施等经济社会支撑因素,国家政策、科学技术、低碳意识及企业家素质等新型推动因素,资源(能源)禀赋、区位条件等自然基础因素。
[Abstract]:Based on the connotation of low-carbon transformation, based on the panel data of 17 coastal cities around Bohai Sea from 2005 to 2012, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of low-carbon transformation in coastal cities around Bohai Sea. Set pair analysis method is used to evaluate it, and the kernel density estimation model and GIS spatial analysis technique are used to analyze the space-time difference of the results. The results show that from 2005 to 2012, the low carbon development of coastal cities around the Bohai Sea is declining obviously, but no significant progress has been made in the low carbon transformation of each city. There is no significant change in the spatial pattern of economic growth in coastal cities around the Bohai Sea, but in the industrial structure, energy use, ecological environment. The development support shows a trend of reverse change, indicating that the effect of low-carbon transformation is not significant. The spatiotemporal difference of low-carbon transformation performance in coastal cities around Bohai Sea is the result of a combination of factors, including capital, manpower and infrastructure, and other economic and social support factors. National policies, science and technology, low carbon awareness and entrepreneurial quality, such as new driving factors, resources (energy) endowment, location conditions and other natural basic factors.
【作者单位】：辽宁师范大学城市与环境学院;辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心;
【基金】：部省共建人文社会科学重点研究基地项目(14JJD790038) 国家自然科学基金项目(41671119) 辽宁省教育厅课题(W201683607)
【分类号】：F127;X22
【正文快照】： 1 引言中国GDP于2011年赶超日本,跃居成为世界第二大经济体。改革开放30年以来,中国充分利用自身的人力资源,发展产品加工业,成为世界上最大的产品出口国,然而这种经济增长方式制约经济的持续健康发展,以物质生产为主的经济发展与资源环境的矛盾日益凸显。《中国化石燃料与

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