高铁建设与县域经济发展——基于卫星灯光数据的研究

发布时间：2018-01-23 06:55

本文关键词： 高铁建设经济发展卫星灯光数据　出处：《经济学(季刊)》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：自2008年以来,由于高铁的开通;中国许多县告别了没有火车站的历史,这为研究高铁建设与县域经济发展的因果关系提供了很好的案例。本文选取2008—2013年首次开通高铁的县作为处理组,使用"匹配倍差法"考察了高铁开通对"高铁县"经济发展带来的影响。基于卫星灯光数据的研究发现,第一,高铁开通对县级市和县经济发展带来不同影响,高铁开通对有高铁的县级市经济增长贡献为34.64%,而对县级单位经济增长的影响不明显;第二,高铁开通促进了"高铁县"投资的增加,平均而言"高铁县"的固定资产投资增加了37%,约合10.86亿元;第三,高铁开通对"高铁县"产业结构则没有产生显著的影响。在稳健性检验中,替换经济增长衡量方法、变换时间断点以及改变估计策略等均得到类似的结果。最后,文章从空间溢出的角度解释了高铁的差异性影响。
[Abstract]:Since 2008, due to the opening of high-speed rail; Many counties in China have said goodbye to the history of not having a railway station. This provides a good case for the study of causality between high-speed rail construction and county economic development. This paper selects the county that opened high-speed rail for the first time from 2008 to 2013 as the processing group. Using the "matching difference method" to investigate the impact of high-speed rail opening on the economic development of "high-speed rail county". Based on satellite lighting data, we found that, first, high-speed rail opening has different effects on county and county economic development. The contribution of high-speed rail to the economic growth of county-level cities with high-speed rail is 34.64, but the impact on the economic growth of county-level units is not obvious. Second, the opening of high-speed rail promoted an increase in investment in "high-speed rail counties", which on average increased fixed assets investment by 37 percent, or about one billion eighty-six million yuan; Third, the opening of high-speed rail has no significant impact on the industrial structure of "high-speed rail county". In the robustness test, replace the method of measuring economic growth. Similar results are obtained by changing time breakpoints and changing estimation strategies. Finally, the paper explains the difference of high-speed rail from the perspective of spatial spillover.
【作者单位】：中国社科院金融研究所博士后流动站;兴业银行博士后科研工作站;
【分类号】：F127;F532.8
【正文快照】： 一、引　　言在经济增长理论中,交通基础设施建设通常被认为是推动经济增长和发展的关键因素之一。从历史数据来看,美国和西欧等发达国家历史上经济快速增长时期都与其交通基础设施快速建设时期相重合(Banerjee　et　al.,2012)。“要想富,先修路”,这曾经被认为是中国区域经济

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