老挝外商直接投资与经济增长的关系研究

发布时间：2018-01-23 13:47

本文关键词： 外商直接投资经济增长老挝　出处：《昆明理工大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：当前,随着经济全球化趋势越发明显,区域经济一体化进一步深入发展,作为社会主义国家的老挝,正在进行市场转型,从一个计划经济转向市场经济、从一个闭关封锁的经济发展状态转向改革开放的经济发展形势。在经济发展转型期,可能会面临很多挑战,很多困难,比如:资金缺乏、体制僵化、效率低下等,因而出现很长一段阵痛期。与周边国家相比,老挝在外商资金引进方面,无论是引进规模,外资引进力度,还是外资质量,都有着很大的差距,与世界上其他发展中国家相比,也都存在着较大的差距,这是当下老挝面临的一个急需解决的主要问题。此外,老挝国内引进的外商资金都存在利用效率低下的问题,因而,政府需要普遍提高外商投资的利用率,需进一步提升对吸引外资的重视度。通过前文的背景和综述研究,在借鉴前人研究的基础上,运用实证方法分析老挝外商直接投资与经济增长之间的关系。首先收集1995-2015年之间的老挝外商直接投资和经济增长的相关数据,然后运用时间序列方法对两组变量进行协整检验分析,并建立误差修正模型;其次,运用Eviews软件对本文构建的模型进行分析;再者,根据模型分析的结果,分析老挝外商直接投资与经济发展之间的关系,得出结论:老挝外商直接投资对经济有着明显的促进作用。最后,在此基础上得出了本文的结论:当前老挝经济发展的主要动力来源于外商直接投资,为此,政府应该积极地制定各种措施,完善吸引外资引进的战略计划,加大外资引进力度,积极地融入世界经济。文章最后运用SWOT分析法,对当前老挝在引进外商直接投资时的优势与劣势、机会与挑战进行了分析。总结出当前老挝引进外资的优势和机会,但同时也面临着巨大的威胁与挑战。综合比较优势与劣势,机会与挑战,当前老挝在外商直接投资引进方面,优势多于劣势,机会要多于挑战。通过前文模型分析得出的结论:外商直接投资对于国内经济增长有着积极的促进作用,因而,本研究为政府在引进外商直接投资时做出的决策提供理论指导意义,需要政府积极地运用优势,抓紧发展的机遇,同时也对政府提出挑战,必须要将劣势转化为优势,这有这样,才能真正的在引进外资的同时,能够促进老挝国内经济的快速、健康、持续的发展,提高老挝国内人民的生活水平。
[Abstract]:At present, with the trend of economic globalization becoming more and more obvious, regional economic integration is further developed. As a socialist country, Laos is undergoing market transformation from a planned economy to a market economy. In the transition period of economic development, there may be many challenges and difficulties, such as lack of funds and rigid system. Compared with the neighboring countries, Laos has a big gap in foreign capital introduction, whether it is the scale of the introduction, the intensity of foreign investment, or the quality of foreign investment. Compared with other developing countries in the world, there is also a big gap, which is a major problem facing Laos. The domestic introduction of foreign funds in Laos has the problem of inefficient use, therefore, the government needs to generally improve the utilization rate of foreign investment. Need to further enhance the importance of attracting foreign investment. Through the previous background and summary research, on the basis of previous studies. The empirical method is used to analyze the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in Laos. Firstly, the relevant data of Lao foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth from 1995 to 2015 are collected. Then the time series method is used to analyze the two groups of variables by cointegration test, and the error correction model is established. Secondly, the Eviews software is used to analyze the model constructed in this paper. Furthermore, according to the results of the model analysis, this paper analyzes the relationship between foreign direct investment and economic development in Laos, and draws a conclusion: Lao foreign direct investment has a significant role in promoting the economy. Finally. On this basis, this paper draws the conclusion: the main driving force of the economic development of Laos comes from foreign direct investment. Therefore, the government should actively formulate various measures to improve the strategic plan to attract foreign capital. In the end, the paper applies SWOT analysis method to analyze the advantages and disadvantages of foreign direct investment in Laos. This paper analyzes the opportunities and challenges, and summarizes the advantages and opportunities of introducing foreign capital in Laos, but at the same time, it is faced with enormous threats and challenges, comprehensive comparative advantages and disadvantages, opportunities and challenges. At present, Laos has more advantages than disadvantages, more opportunities than challenges in the introduction of foreign direct investment. Through the analysis of the previous model, the conclusion is: foreign direct investment has a positive role in promoting domestic economic growth. Therefore, this study provides theoretical guidance for the government to make decisions in the introduction of foreign direct investment. It needs the government to make active use of its advantages, seize the opportunities for development, but also put forward challenges to the government. It is necessary to turn the inferiority into the advantage, so as to promote the rapid, healthy and sustainable development of the Lao domestic economy and improve the living standards of the Lao people while introducing foreign capital.
【学位授予单位】：昆明理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F133.4;F833.34

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