中国对“一带一路”国家直接投资业绩及潜力研究

发布时间：2018-03-15 11:49

本文选题：“一带一路”　切入点：对外直接投资　出处：《青岛大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：投资合作是“一带一路”建设发展的重点内容和关键领域,如何扩大与“一带一路”国家的投资合作,探索新的合作方式与新领域,对中国进一步深入“走出去”战略十分关键。因此本文从中国对“一带一路”国家的投资问题作为主要研究内容,从中国对“一带一路”国家的投资业绩与投资潜力作为出发点,研究当前中国对主要“一带一路”国家的投资现状以及投资业绩与投资潜力水平,以期为中国政府企业赴“一带一路”国家进行投资提供决策参考和依据。本文主要按照以下的研究框架进行展开,第一章,主要介绍本研究的背景与目的意义,对当前国内外相关学者已有的研究进行回顾与评价;第二章,介绍当前关于投资研究的相关理论基础,对传统投资理论、发展中国家投资理论做系统的梳理与总结;第三章,对中国“一带一路”战略进行简要的介绍,并在此背景下,分析近年来中国对“一带一路”国家的发展历程、特征等;第四章,将联合国贸发会(UNCTAD)提出的对外直接投资业绩指数与潜力指数进行修正,构建中国对“一带一路”国家对外直接投资业绩与潜力指数并进行测算比较;第五章得出研究结论并在此基础上提出相应的对策建议。在研究方法的选取上,本文主要运用对比分析的方法,考虑到“一带一路”作为两个发展方向不同的地域特征,本文将两个经济带的问题分别进行考虑研究,就中国对两者的投资问题分别进行测算研究,并作出两者的对比,以期发现中国对两个经济带投资问题的异同点,以便提出更有针对性的对策建议。分析中国对“一带”、“一路”国家的投资现状,发现中国对“一带”、“一路”两个经济带的投资现状特征基本相同,总量较少且地区间差异较大;分析业绩指数,发现中国对两个经济带的投资业绩指数10年间波动不大,都只有少数国家的业绩水平超过该经济带业绩的平均水平,其余国家的业绩水平均有缓慢上升;从潜力指数来看,中国对“一带”、“一路”国家的投资潜力较为稳定,投资潜力在短时间内没有发生较大变化,部分经济较为发达的国家综合投资潜力优势明显,大多数国家仅在某领域内具有较高的潜力;交叉分析投资业绩与潜力,所选国家中属于的“领先国家”的数量较少,大部分国家属于“超潜力发挥国家”与“未发挥潜力国家”,投资业绩与投资潜力不相匹配。总体而言,通过对“一带”、“一路”的对比研究,由于两经济带大都由发展中国家组成,国家经济社会环境具有一定的相似性,因此,中国对两经济带的投资现状、投资业绩与投资潜力均有很大的相似性。
[Abstract]:Investment cooperation is the key content and key area of Belt and Road's construction and development. It is very important for China to go further into the "going out" strategy. Therefore, this paper focuses on China's investment in "Belt and Road" countries as its main research content. From the perspective of China's investment performance and investment potential in "Belt and Road" countries, this paper studies the current investment situation and investment performance and investment potential level of China in the major "Belt and Road" countries. In order to provide a reference and basis for Chinese government enterprises to invest in "Belt and Road" country, this paper is mainly carried out according to the following research framework. The first chapter mainly introduces the background and purpose significance of this study. Review and evaluation of the current domestic and foreign scholars; chapter two, introduce the current investment research on the relevant theoretical basis, traditional investment theory, developing countries investment theory to do a systematic review and summary; chapter three, This paper gives a brief introduction to China's "Belt and Road" strategy and, against this background, analyzes China's development history and characteristics of the country in recent years. Chapter 4th, The performance index and potential index of FDI proposed by UNCTAD are revised, and the index of performance and potential of China's foreign direct investment (FDI) of "Belt and Road" is constructed and compared. Chapter 5th draws the conclusion of the research and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions on this basis. In the selection of research methods, this paper mainly uses the method of comparative analysis, taking into account "Belt and Road" as two regional characteristics with different development directions. In this paper, the problems of the two economic zones are considered and studied separately, and the problems of Chinese investment in the two economic zones are measured and studied separately, and the comparison between the two is made in order to find the similarities and differences between China and the investment problems of the two economic zones. In order to put forward more targeted countermeasures and suggestions, this paper analyzes the present situation of China's investment in the "Belt" and "one Road" countries, and finds out that the present investment status of the "Belt" and "one Road" economic zones in China is basically the same, the total amount of which is relatively small and the difference between regions is great; By analyzing the performance index, it is found that China's investment performance index for the two economic zones has not fluctuated in the past 10 years. Only a few countries' performance level is higher than the average performance level of the economic belt, while the performance level of the other countries has increased slowly. Judging from the potential index, China's investment potential in the "belt" and "one road" countries is relatively stable, and the investment potential has not changed much in a short period of time, and some countries with relatively developed economies have obvious advantages in comprehensive investment potential. Most countries have higher potential in only one area; a cross-analysis of investment performance and potential, and fewer "leading countries" in the selected countries, Most countries are "super-potential countries" and "non-potential countries", and investment performance does not match investment potential. Overall, through comparative studies of "Belt" and "Road", Because most of the two economic belts are composed of developing countries and the national economic and social environment is similar to each other, China's investment status, investment performance and investment potential of the two economic zones are very similar.
【学位授予单位】：青岛大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125

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