长期经济增长的需求因素制约——政治经济学视角的增长理论与实践分析

发布时间：2018-03-17 16:13

本文选题：政治经济学　切入点：长期经济增长　出处：《经济研究》2017年10期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文围绕长期经济增长的需求制约,引入政治经济学的分析视角,对现代增长理论的缺失问题和增长阶段转变的国际经验进行分析,进而探讨中国经济增长的长期趋势和政策选择。现代增长理论忽略需求因素的制约,对经济现实缺乏解释力和应用性,面临实践过程日益突出的挑战。日本、韩国和台湾地区经济发展阶段变化后长期增速大幅回落,主要是受到内需增长尤其是投资增速下行的影响。中国改革开放以来,经济高速增长主要是由需求扩张拉动的,经济进入新常态之后的长期增长趋势主要取决于内需增速的变化,影响需求长期增速的因素既有供给结构问题也有需求结构问题,长期增长政策应把供给侧结构性改革与需求侧结构性改革结合起来。
[Abstract]:This paper focuses on the demand constraints of long-term economic growth, and introduces the political economic analysis perspective to analyze the lack of modern growth theory and the international experience of the transition of the growth stage. Then it discusses the long-term trend and policy choice of China's economic growth. Modern growth theory ignores the constraints of demand factors, lacks the explanatory power and application to the economic reality, and faces the increasingly prominent challenge of the practical process. The long-term growth rate of South Korea and Taiwan has fallen sharply after the changes in the stage of economic development, mainly affected by the downward growth of domestic demand, especially investment growth. Since China's reform and opening up, the rapid economic growth has been mainly driven by the expansion of demand. The long-term growth trend of the economy after entering the new normal mainly depends on the change of the growth rate of domestic demand. The factors influencing the long-term growth rate of demand are both the supply structure problem and the demand structure problem. Long-term growth policy should combine supply-side structural reform with demand-side structural reform.
【作者单位】：华侨大学经济发展与改革研究院;中国社会科学院研究生院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重大项目“十三五”时期供给侧改革与需求侧协同下的我国产业结构调整与升级研究”(批准号16ZDA004)的资助
【分类号】：F121;F124.1

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