吉林省基础设施投资与经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-23 01:17

本文选题：经济增长　切入点：基础设施投资　出处：《东北师范大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：基础设施影响人们的衣食住行和社会生产的各个方面,基础设施投资的重要性也引起诸多经济学者的注意并进行了大量的研究,在理论上和实证研究中给予了基础设施的重要性和先行性以支持。但是大多数的研究都是关于我国或者较发达省份和地区的,对于吉林省研究甚少。伴随着吉林省近年来不断有很多新建的基础设施投资项目,这种投资对吉林省经济增长的具体作用需要得到验证。本文根据相关基础设施投资影响经济增长的宏观理论和发展经济学理论,进行了适当的理论创新,分析了基础设施投资影响经济增长的直接传导机制和间接影响机制。本文在对1996-2012年吉林省基础设施投资的统计性描述后,基于计量分析中的协整理论和误差修正,得出当吉林省础设施投资增加1%时经济总量增加0.06936%,在格兰杰检验中得出吉林省1996-2012年的基础设施投资只对经济具有短期影响,其长期影响不显著的结论。本文最后对于吉林省基础设施投资进行简单评价并分别基础设施投资结构、制度设置和政治环境等方面给出政策建议。
[Abstract]:Infrastructure affects people's food, clothing, housing and all aspects of social production. The importance of infrastructure investment has also attracted the attention of many economists and carried out a lot of research. In both theoretical and empirical studies, the importance and forerunner of infrastructure are supported. However, most of the studies are about our country or the more developed provinces and regions. There is very little research in Jilin Province. With the continuous development of many new infrastructure investment projects in Jilin Province in recent years, The concrete effect of this kind of investment on the economic growth of Jilin Province needs to be verified. According to the macro theory and the development economics theory that the infrastructure investment affects the economic growth, this paper has carried on the appropriate theoretical innovation. This paper analyzes the direct conduction mechanism and indirect influence mechanism of infrastructure investment affecting economic growth. After the statistical description of infrastructure investment in Jilin Province from 1996 to 2012, based on the theory of cointegration and error correction in econometric analysis, It is concluded that when the basic infrastructure investment in Jilin Province increases by 1 percent, the total economic volume will increase by 0.0693636. In the Granger test, it is concluded that the infrastructure investment in Jilin Province from 1996 to 2012 will only have a short-term impact on the economy. In the end, the paper makes a simple evaluation of the infrastructure investment in Jilin Province and gives some policy suggestions on the infrastructure investment structure, institutional setting and political environment respectively.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F283;F127

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