基于区域接力增长模型的中国经济增长持续性分析

发布时间：2018-04-02 05:05

本文选题：区域接力增长　切入点：经济增长　出处：《经济经纬》2017年04期

【摘要】：构建区域接力增长理论模型,初步证明了一个经济体可以采用区域接力增长方式而实现比单个(或某类)区域的快速增长阶段更长时间的持续快速增长。经验分析表明,改革开放以来中国经济持续快速增长过程中存在区域接力增长现象,就增长率而言,区域接力增长发生在2002年。这是中国经济实现长达30多年持续快速增长的一个重要原因。当前,东部发达省市正处于增速减缓和结构调整时期,而部分中西部省市则正进入快速增长阶段。因此,国家宜将这些省市作为接力区域,大力支持其经济保持快速增长趋势,从而实现全国经济的持续较快增长。
[Abstract]:The theoretical model of regional relay growth is constructed, which proves that an economy can achieve a sustained rapid growth for a longer time than a single region (or a certain type of region) by adopting the regional relay growth mode.The empirical analysis shows that there exists the phenomenon of regional relay growth in the process of sustained rapid economic growth in China since the reform and opening up, and the regional relay growth occurred in 2002 as far as the growth rate is concerned.This is an important reason for the sustained and rapid growth of China's economy for more than 30 years.At present, the eastern developed provinces and cities are in the period of slow growth and structural adjustment, while some central and western provinces and cities are entering the stage of rapid growth.Therefore, the country should regard these provinces and cities as relay regions, and vigorously support their economy to maintain the trend of rapid growth, so as to realize the sustained rapid economic growth of the whole country.
【作者单位】：暨南大学经济学院;河南财经政法大学资源与环境学院;深圳市宝安区发展研究中心;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目(17AJL011);国家社会科学基金重大项目(11&ZD159) 暨南大学经纬粤港澳经济研究中心广东产业发展与粤港澳台区域合作研究中心资助项目
【分类号】：F124.1

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