中国经济发展方式转型效果评估——基于EBM-Luenberger模型

发布时间：2018-04-19 07:48

本文选题：发展方式转型 + EBM-Luenberger模型　；参考：《财贸经济》2017年01期

【摘要】：本文基于EBM-Luenberger分析模型,构建非参数生产前沿分析框架,分解1995-2014年中国经济增长,剖析效率改善的贡献,以评估经济发展方式转型效果。研究显示:虽然要素投入仍是近20年中国经济发展的主要动因,但是效率改善对经济发展的贡献在不断提高,从2012年起中国已经进入粗放型发展向质量型发展转变的过渡期;技术进步是效率改善的主要推动力;东部地区转型效果较好,发展方式即将实现向质量型的转变,中部、西部地区转型速度最快;省际层面中,2014年上海等5个省市经济发展实现了从粗放型向质量型的转变,贵州等9个省区仍属于粗放型发展,安徽等16个省市处于从粗放型到质量型的过渡期。基于研究成果,本文针对中国经济发展方式转型中的重点和难点,从如何处理发展方式转型和经济发展的关系,如何长久地保持效率改善对经济发展的贡献提出了政策建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the EBM-Luenberger analysis model, this paper constructs a nonparametric production frontier analysis framework, decomposes China's economic growth from 1995 to 2014, analyzes the contribution of efficiency improvement, and evaluates the transformation effect of economic development mode.The research shows that although factor input is still the main driver of China's economic development in the past 20 years, the contribution of efficiency improvement to economic development has been continuously improved. Since 2012, China has entered the transition period from extensive development to qualitative development.Technological progress is the main driving force of efficiency improvement, the eastern region has better transformation effect, the mode of development is about to realize the transformation to the quality type, and the central and western regions have the fastest speed of transformation.At the provincial level, the economic development of 5 provinces and cities such as Shanghai has changed from extensive to qualitative in 2014, 9 provinces and regions in Guizhou are still in extensive development, and 16 provinces and cities in Anhui are in the transition period from extensive to qualitative.Based on the research results, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on how to deal with the relationship between development mode and economic development, and how to maintain efficiency and improve the contribution to economic development for a long time in view of the key points and difficulties in the transformation of Chinese economic development mode.
【作者单位】：西安交通大学马克思主义学院;西安交通大学经济与金融学院;西安交通大学马克思主义学院党委;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金面上项目“强可持续视角下欠发达地区绿色发展机制与路径选择研究”(16BJL116)
【分类号】：F121

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