出口商品结构如何影响产业结构调整——基于1995—2015年30个样本国家的经验数据

发布时间：2018-04-19 08:12

本文选题：出口商品结构 + 产业结构　；参考：《江汉论坛》2017年03期

【摘要】：对外贸易商品结构与产业结构相辅相成,相互促进,随着中国贸易地位的上升,对外贸易结构不断优化升级。本文以1995—2015年世界上30个国家的工业制成品与初级产品出口数据为样本,运用动态面板方法对出口商品结构与产业结构之间的关系进行实证检验,结果表明工业制成品出口增加对产业结构调整具有正向效应,说明出口商品结构的改善有利于国内产业结构调整,而初级产品出口增加对产业结构调整具有负向效应。进一步地将30个样本国家分为16个发达国家和14个发展中国家分别进行实证检验,结果表明发达国家出口商品结构的改善对产业结构具有积极影响,发展中国家的实证结果与发达国家一致,发展中国家出口商品结构对产业结构的影响系数大于发达国家;而外商直接投资、技术水平、金融水平、基础设施、劳动生产率和人力资本水平等是促进产业结构调整的积极因素。
[Abstract]:The commodity structure and industrial structure of foreign trade complement each other and promote each other. With the rise of China's trade status, the structure of foreign trade is constantly optimized and upgraded.Based on the export data of manufactured products and primary products from 30 countries in the world from 1995 to 2015, this paper uses the dynamic panel method to test the relationship between export commodity structure and industrial structure.The results show that the increase of the export of manufactured goods has a positive effect on the adjustment of industrial structure, which indicates that the improvement of the structure of export commodities is beneficial to the adjustment of domestic industrial structure, while the increase of export of primary products has a negative effect on the adjustment of industrial structure.Furthermore, 30 sample countries were divided into 16 developed countries and 14 developing countries. The results showed that the improvement of export commodity structure of developed countries had a positive impact on the industrial structure.The empirical results of developing countries are consistent with those of developed countries, and the influence coefficient of developing countries' export commodity structure on industrial structure is greater than that of developed countries, while foreign direct investment, technological level, financial level, infrastructure,Labor productivity and human capital level are the positive factors to promote the adjustment of industrial structure.
【作者单位】：深圳大学文化产业研究院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金青年项目“商业空间结构与城镇化质量耦合协调发展研究”(14CJY054)
【分类号】：F746.12;F113.1

【相似文献】