城市生态文明建设进程中生态足迹的动态演变及驱动因子分析——以南宁市为例

发布时间：2018-04-23 12:15

本文选题：生态文明 + 生态足迹　；参考：《工业安全与环保》2017年10期

【摘要】：用扩展的STIRPAT模型、主成分回归分析法,对南宁市2005~2012年生态足迹、化石能源足迹的驱动机制进行分析,并对南宁市经济增长与生态足迹、化石能源足迹的演变关系进行Kuznets曲线检验。结果表明:总人口、人均GDP、城市化率对南宁市生态足迹、化石能源足迹具有正向驱动作用,而万元GDP能耗、第三产业产值比重对生态足迹、化石能源足迹的驱动作用为负向,在2005~2012年经济增长与生态足迹、化石能源足迹的Kuznets曲线检验中并没有呈现"倒U型",南宁市的经济发展仍处于经济增长伴随着生态环境压力增大的阶段。
[Abstract]:Using the extended STIRPAT model and principal component regression analysis, the driving mechanism of the ecological footprint and fossil energy footprint of Nanning from 2005 to 2012 was analyzed, and the economic growth and ecological footprint of Nanning were analyzed. The evolution of fossil energy footprint was examined by Kuznets curve. The results show that the total population, per capita GDP and urbanization rate have positive driving effects on the ecological footprint and fossil energy footprint of Nanning City, while the driving effect of 10,000 yuan GDP energy consumption, the proportion of tertiary industry output value on the ecological footprint, the driving effect of fossil energy footprint is negative. From 2005 to 2012, the Kuznets curve test of fossil energy footprint did not show "inverted U shape" in economic growth and ecological footprint. The economic development of Nanning City is still in the stage of economic growth accompanied by increasing ecological environment pressure.
【作者单位】：广西师范学院北部湾环境演变与资源利用教育部重点实验室广西地表过程与智能模拟实验室;
【基金】：广西自然科学基金(2016GXNSFAA380087) 广西高校中青年教师基础能力提升项目(2017KY0410)
【分类号】：F127;X22

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