孟中印缅区域经济合作的障碍与对策分析

发布时间：2018-05-01 06:32

本文选题：区域经济合作 + 孟中印缅　；参考：《云南财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：世界经济发展至今日，形成了以经济全球化和区域经济一体化的两大趋势，很多国家顺应这种趋势主动参与到区域经济合作中去。孟中印缅地区山水相连，地理位置优越，四国连接着东亚、东南亚和南亚，该地区人口截止2010年已超过27亿，有着广泛的人口资源和市场，除此之外孟中印缅地区是全球资源最丰富的地区之一。进入21世纪以来，四国经济快速发展，经济之间互补性强，经济发展潜力大。因此，孟中印缅地区经济合作有着较强的现实基础。然而，由于孟中印缅地区长期以来交通不便，，中印历史遗留下来的边界纠纷问题，以及四国对合作的信任程度不够，导致了四国的合作进程比较缓慢。随着近几届“孟中印缅经济合作论坛”的举行，四国已就加强贸易、金融、政治、旅游、教育、文化、交通等方面的合作与交流逐渐达成了共识，并且寻求在更广泛的领域达成统一的合作与交流意向，尤其在加强各国间的经济和对外贸易合作方面，各国的合作愿望逐渐增强。本文立足于现阶段孟中印缅地区开展全面合作的可行性分析，结合孟中印缅开展合作过程中的障碍，力争为中国在全面参与孟中印缅地区经济合作中提供有益的对策建议。本文除引言、结论和展望外包括五个部分，具体情况如下：第一章为导言,主要对研究背景和意义、文献综述、研究方法及技术路线、创新之处做了说明。第二章具体阐述了孟中印缅区域经济的现状，对其贸易水平、金融合作进行了分析，根据分析结果对未来孟中印缅经济合作的发展趋势和特征进行了归纳和总结。第三章采用了贸易引力模型对孟中印缅的双边贸易进行量化，得出了影响孟中印缅区域经济合作的贸易引力模型，最后运用引力模型对中国与孟印缅三国的贸易潜力进行了分析，发现中国的出口贸易未能达到饱和状态。第四章从经济、政治、文化、自然四个层面分析了中国与孟印缅扩大合作的可行性。第五章分析了双边与多边经济合作过程中出现的主要障碍及每个障碍的具体情况。第六章结合可行性和面临的障碍，针对具体问题提出了促进中国与孟印缅经济合作健康发展的政策建议。本文的创新之处是目前对孟中印缅区域经济合作的研究中，大多集中在贸易合作，本文不仅仅把贸易合作作为经济合作的重点，还考虑了经济合作的另一方面金融合作，以及政治、文化、自然因素等方面对区域经济合作的影响。另一个创新点是通过使用贸易引力模型，对中国与对孟印缅三国的出口额进行了回归分析，然后对中国与孟印缅的贸易潜力进行了预测。
[Abstract]:To today, the world economy has formed two major trends in economic globalization and regional economic integration. Many countries take the initiative to participate in regional economic cooperation. The mountains and rivers in the region of Mencius and Myanmar are connected, the geographical position is superior, and the four countries connect East Asia, Southeast Asia and South Asia. The population of the region is over 2 billion 700 million in 2010. With a wide range of population resources and markets, in addition to this, the Mencius and India and Myanmar are one of the most abundant regions in the world. Since twenty-first Century, the four countries have developed rapidly, the economic complementarity is strong and the economic development potential is great. Therefore, the economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar has a strong realistic basis.
However, the four countries have been strengthening trade, finance, politics, tourism, education, as a result of the long traffic inconveniences, the border dispute over the history of China and India, and the lack of confidence in the cooperation between the four countries and the four countries, which have led to the slow pace of cooperation between the four countries. Cooperation and communication between education, culture and transportation gradually reached a consensus and sought to achieve a unified cooperation and exchange of intentions in a wider range of fields, especially in strengthening the economic and foreign trade cooperation among countries, and the desire for cooperation between countries was gradually strengthened.
This article is based on the feasibility analysis of the comprehensive cooperation between China and India and Myanmar at the present stage, and in the light of the obstacles in the process of cooperation between China and India and Myanmar, and strive to provide useful suggestions for China's comprehensive participation in the economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar. This paper, in addition to the introduction, includes five parts, the following: first, the following: first, the following: first, the following: first, the following: The second chapter expounds the current situation of the regional economy in Mencius, India and Myanmar, analyzes its trade level and financial cooperation, and carries out the development trend and characteristics of the economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar, according to the analysis results. In the third chapter, the trade gravitational model is used to quantify the bilateral trade between Mencius and India and Myanmar, and the model of trade gravitation which affects the economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar is obtained. Finally, the trade potential of China and the three countries of menmyanmar is analyzed by the gravitational model, and the export trade of China is not saturated. The four chapter analyzes the feasibility of expanding cooperation between China and Mencius Myanmar from four aspects of economy, politics, culture and nature. The fifth chapter analyzes the main obstacles in bilateral and multilateral economic cooperation and the specific situation of each obstacle. The sixth chapter puts forward the promotion of China and Meng Yin in accordance with the feasibility and the obstacles facing them. Policy recommendations for the healthy development of economic cooperation in Myanmar.
The innovation of this paper is that at present, most of the research on economic cooperation between China and India and Myanmar is concentrated in trade cooperation. This article not only regards trade cooperation as the focus of economic cooperation, but also considers the other aspects of economic cooperation, as well as the influence of political, cultural and natural factors on regional economic cooperation. The new point is a regression analysis of China's exports to the countries of Mencius and Myanmar through the use of the trade gravitational model, and then forecasts the trade potential of China and Mencius Burmese.

【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F114.46

【参考文献】