京津冀产业复杂网络特征及动态演化研究

发布时间：2018-05-06 12:24

本文选题：京津冀 + 产业复杂系统　；参考：《华北电力大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：京津冀经济圈作为继珠三角、长三角之后的中国第三大经济增长极,是国家经济发展的重要引擎和参与国际竞争的先导区域。随着京津冀地区经济往来和资源流动的愈加密切,区域间产业关联亦不断增强,产业之间已不仅局限于区域内部交流,区域间由于复杂的技术关联和投入产出关系已经形成了一个带有“复杂网络”特征的产业复杂网络结构。产业部门之间的关联方式和关联强度,以及产业在网络中的存在的价值意义随时间或加强或减弱,从而带动京津冀产业结构发生整体性演化。本文基于复杂网络理论,将京津冀产业结构中的每个产业看作一个节点,每个产业之间的相互联系(投入或产出)看作一条边,根据各产业间复杂投入产出价值量的关系构建一个有向的产业网络,并从横向和纵向角度对2002年、2010年京津冀子系统和京津冀大系统各自产业网络的复杂特征和动态演化进行研究分析,并针对京津冀地区产业协同发展提出对策和建议。首先,文章归纳整理产业复杂网络理论,从复杂网络的定义特征、关系数据以及统计特征等三个层面的理论基础整理概述,为下文行文提供理论支撑。其次,文章基于社会网络视角,分别就2002年、2010年京津冀子系统和大系统的产业网络特征进行研究,构建产业拓扑结构图,并解释各指标值涵义。再而,文章基于京津冀63个产业部门的A-D角色和中间人角色,分别对2002年、2010年的纵向动态演化特征以及子系统产业和大系统产业间的横向动态演化特征进行比较分析,同时针对京津冀地区“三大产业”未来演化模式提出建议。最后,文章在京津冀产业复杂网络特征和其动态演化模式指导下,分别从区域角度和产业角度,对京津冀区域产业演化发展提出政策建议。研究表明,京津冀产业复杂网络中各区域产业的特征及演化模式不尽相同。北京和天津在网络结构中所处地位较为相似,均是第一产业和轻工业趋于专业化、同质化发展,重工业发展仍需转型,服务业则居于产业网络最核心位置,起到连通各个产业进行资源交流的作用;河北省则与京津区别明显,河北省第一产业的高效性和先进性仍需提升,轻工业的投产水平较低,传统重工业发展良莠不齐,服务行业的网络领头作用待进一步加强。
[Abstract]:As the third largest economic growth pole after the Pearl River Delta and the Yangtze River Delta, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei economic circle is an important engine of national economic development and a leading region to participate in international competition. As the economic exchanges and resource flows in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region become more and more close, the inter-regional industrial ties are also increasing, and inter-industry exchanges have not only been confined to intra-regional exchanges. Because of the complex technology connection and the input-output relationship between regions, a complex industrial network structure with the characteristics of "complex network" has been formed. The relationship between industrial departments and the intensity of association, as well as the value of the existence of industry in the network with time or strengthen or weaken, so as to promote the overall evolution of the industrial structure of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. Based on the theory of complex network, every industry in the industrial structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei is regarded as a node, and the relationship between each industry (input or output) is regarded as a side. According to the relationship between the complex input and output value of different industries, a promising industrial network is constructed. The complex characteristics and dynamic evolution of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei subsystem and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei large-scale system in 2002 and 2010 are studied and analyzed from the horizontal and vertical angles, and the countermeasures and suggestions for the coordinated development of industry in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are put forward. First of all, the paper summarizes the theory of industrial complex network, from the definition of complex network, relational data and statistical characteristics of the three levels of the theoretical basis, to provide theoretical support for the following text. Secondly, based on the perspective of social network, this paper studies the industrial network characteristics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei subsystem and large system in 2002 and 2010, constructs the industrial topology chart, and explains the meaning of each index value. Then, based on the A-D role and intermediary role of 63 industrial departments in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei, this paper compares the vertical dynamic evolution characteristics of 2002 and 2010 and the horizontal dynamic evolution characteristics between subsystem industry and large system industry. At the same time, the future evolution model of the three industries in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is proposed. Finally, under the guidance of the complex network characteristics of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei industry and its dynamic evolution model, the paper puts forward policy recommendations on the evolution and development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei regional industry from the angle of region and industry respectively. The research shows that the characteristics and evolution patterns of the industries in the complex network of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei are different. Beijing and Tianjin are in a similar position in the network structure. They are the primary industry and light industry tend to be specialized, homogenous development, heavy industry development still needs transformation, and service industry occupies the core position in the industrial network. Hebei Province is obviously different from Beijing and Tianjin. The efficiency and advanced nature of the primary industry in Hebei still need to be improved, the level of light industry being put into production is relatively low, and the development of traditional heavy industry is uneven. The network leading role of service industry needs to be further strengthened.
【学位授予单位】：华北电力大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F127

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