金砖国家金融合作可持续发展影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-05-06 15:06

本文选题：金砖国家 + 金融合作　；参考：《广东财经大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：美国次贷危机的爆发导致全球经济陷入持续衰退,金砖国家的经济增长出现了放缓趋势。在此背景下,金砖国家积极寻求合作来应对经济和金融的挑战,金融合作是各项合作深入的重要突破口。然而,因政治机能紊乱、国际油价暴跌和整体环境疲软等问题,金砖各成员国经济增长出现了不同程度的下滑,外界对其金融合作的可持续性及前景产生了质疑。本文首先对金砖国家金融合作可持续发展进行理论分析;其次,结合金砖国家金融合作现状探讨其金融合作可持续发展的制约因素;然后,鉴于上述分析建立金融规模、效率、外部环境和合作效益子系统并运用因子分析进行测算,基于灰色GM(1,N)模型和测算结果建立影响因素模型。实证结果表明:经历次贷危机后,金砖各国金融规模、效率、外部环境和合作效益受到冲击均呈现短期下降的趋势,随着金砖国家成立和金融合作的推进,金融规模、效率、外部环境和合作效益呈现了逐年向上或逐渐稳定的趋势。金砖成员国金融规模均促进各自的合作效益发展,俄罗斯和印度的金融效率及巴西和俄罗斯的金融外部环境则起了阻碍作用。最后,本文结合研究结果认为各成员国应通过健全多元合作、优化金融结构,促进产业优化和出台经贸政策来支持金融合作的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:The outbreak of the U.S. subprime crisis has plunged the global economy into a continuing recession, slowing growth in the BRICS. Against this background, BRICS countries actively seek cooperation to meet economic and financial challenges, and financial cooperation is an important breakthrough for further cooperation. However, due to political dysfunction, plummeting international oil prices and a weak overall environment, the BRICS economies have experienced varying degrees of decline in economic growth, raising questions about the sustainability and prospects of their financial cooperation. Firstly, this paper makes a theoretical analysis on the sustainable development of financial cooperation among BRICS countries; secondly, considering the current situation of financial cooperation among the BRICS countries, discusses the constraints on the sustainable development of their financial cooperation; and then, in view of the establishment of the financial scale and efficiency of the above analysis, The external environment and cooperative benefit subsystem were calculated by factor analysis, and the influence factor model was established based on the grey GM1N) model and the result of calculation. The empirical results show that: after the sub-prime crisis, the financial scale, efficiency, external environment and cooperation benefit of BRICS countries are all affected by the short-term downward trend. With the establishment of BRICS countries and the promotion of financial cooperation, the financial scale and efficiency of BRICS countries, The external environment and cooperation benefit showed the trend of increasing or gradually stable year by year. The financial size of the BRICS countries promotes their cooperative effectiveness, while the financial efficiency of Russia and India and the external financial environment of Brazil and Russia play a hindrance. Finally, according to the research results, this paper holds that all member countries should optimize the financial structure, promote industrial optimization and issue economic and trade policies to support the sustainable development of financial cooperation through the improvement of pluralistic cooperation.
【学位授予单位】：广东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F831;F114.4

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