重庆市金融业对经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-16 22:09

本文选题：重庆市金融业 + 金融发展　；参考：《重庆工商大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：大量的文献研究表明，金融发展是经济增长的一个非常重要的因素，经济增长也伴随着金融的发展，他们之间是双向促进的关系。但也有文献表明，他们之间是一种单向促进的关系。本文探讨重庆市金融业与经济增长的关系，进而分析重庆市金融市场的发展是否能够带动当地经济的增长，并且结合所得结果给出一些对策建议。文章主要分为五部分，具体如下：本文第一章主要阐述本文的选题背景及选题意义，并对国内外相关理论与文献做了简单的分析与总结，指出了本文可能的创新及不足。本文第二章主要阐述了经济增长理论和金融发展理论，以及他们之间的互相作用机制，为本文做好理论基础。本文第三章主要对重庆市1978-2012年之间经济增长状况和金融发展状况进行了分析总结，分析表明：改革开放以来，重庆市经济一直处于上升势头，人均GDP到2012年和全国基本相当，产业结构“二三一”特征进一步强化，自1980年到2012年重庆市金融资产总量增加了477.52倍，金融深化程度逐年加深，，固定资产投资额在1998年后呈上升趋势，成为经济增长的重要支撑。本文第四章主要从直接影响和间接影响两个层面对重庆市金融业的影响进行实证分析。直接影响是从产业增加值的角度，计算出重庆市金融业对经济增长的贡献度和贡献率。结果表明：虽然重庆市金融业产值增量逐年增加，但是在第三产业及GDP中所占的比重并不高，从贡献率和贡献度两个指标来看，金融业对经济增长的作用不突出。间接影响是从重庆市金融业作用于经济增长的功能不同的角度，选取适宜的衡量经济增长的指标及以功能的视角选取适当的金融发展指标，建立多元回归模型，对模型进行平稳性检验、格兰杰因果检验及协整检验分析各不同指标对经济的影响能力，并根据重庆市经济发展的实际情况，分析金融功能的发展趋势。本文第五章主要是根据以上的几章的分析状况结合当前重庆市经济金融的发展趋势，给出一些可行的对策建议。
[Abstract]:A large number of literature studies show that financial development is a very important factor of economic growth, and economic growth is accompanied by the development of finance. But there are also literature showing that they are a one-way promotion of the relationship. This paper discusses the relationship between financial industry and economic growth in Chongqing, and then analyzes whether the development of financial market in Chongqing can promote the growth of local economy, and gives some countermeasures and suggestions based on the results obtained. The article is divided into five parts, as follows: The first chapter mainly describes the background and significance of the topic, and makes a simple analysis and summary of the relevant theories and literature at home and abroad, pointing out the possible innovations and shortcomings of this paper. The second chapter mainly expounds the theory of economic growth and the theory of financial development, as well as the interaction mechanism between them, which provides a theoretical basis for this paper. In the third chapter, the economic growth and financial development of Chongqing from 1978 to 2012 are analyzed and summarized. The analysis shows that since the reform and opening up, Chongqing's economy has been on the rise, and the per capita GDP is basically equal to that of the whole country in 2012. The characteristics of the industrial structure "23-1" have been further strengthened. From 1980 to 2012, the total amount of financial assets in Chongqing increased 477.52 times, the degree of financial deepening deepened year by year, and the investment in fixed assets showed an upward trend after 1998. To become an important support for economic growth. The fourth chapter mainly analyzes the influence of Chongqing financial industry from two aspects: direct impact and indirect influence. The direct effect is to calculate the contribution degree and contribution rate of Chongqing financial industry to economic growth from the angle of industry added value. The results show that although the increment of financial output value in Chongqing is increasing year by year, the proportion in the tertiary industry and GDP is not high, the contribution rate and contribution degree are two indexes, the financial industry does not play a prominent role in economic growth. The indirect influence is from the different function angle of the finance industry acting on the economic growth in Chongqing, select the appropriate index to measure the economic growth and choose the appropriate financial development index from the function angle, and establish the multivariate regression model. The stability test, Granger causality test and cointegration test are used to analyze the influence of different indexes on the economy, and according to the actual situation of economic development in Chongqing, the development trend of financial function is analyzed. The fifth chapter is mainly based on the analysis of the above chapters combined with the current trend of economic and financial development in Chongqing, and gives some feasible countermeasures and suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：重庆工商大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.7;F127

【参考文献】