内需结构对出口商品结构的影响分析

发布时间：2018-05-20 15:29

本文选题：外需结构 + 内需结构　；参考：《首都经济贸易大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,中国经济实现了快速增长,按当年不变价格计算的GDP从1980年到2012年增长了113倍,三十几年经济总量翻了几番,创造了世界经济发展史的奇迹。但是在这一经济增长速度背后,也面临着诸多问题,例如,资源消耗过多、环境污染、贫富差距拉大等一系列经济社会问题。在这些问题中最为突出的是经济发展方式问题,转变经济发展方式日益成为中国持续快速经济增长的首要课题。经济结构包括诸多结构问题例如产业结构、收入分配结构、城乡发展差异结构等结构。在转变经济发展方式过程中,实现经济结构调整居于核心地位。本文认为当前我国需求结构调整主要面临着两个迫切的问题：如何调整外需与内需比例结构,使得国民经济整体运行更加合理又平稳；如何调整外需出口产品结构,使得外需出口更有竞争力。本文主要从外需出口产品结构与内需结构之间的影响关系来研究我国当前的经济结构,研究如何在当前调整内需与外需出口结构的背景下,优化出口产品结构,实现资源在我国外需出口部门优化配置,最终实现转方式、调结构、促发展的联动效应。本文首先回顾了有关文献和理论综述,分析了内需与外需整体规模特征,研究发现我国自改革开放以来30多年经济发展呈现内需为主导的增长模式,接着各自分析内需与外需结构,研究发现自2004年以后我国内需结构开始呈现投资与消费结构失衡局面,而外需结构却呈现出不断优化改善趋势。然后,运用VAR实证分析了内需结构与外需结构之间的影响,研究发现内需结构会影响外需结构。最后,进一步分析具体影响外需结构的内需因素,研究发现城镇居民消费需求对我国出口产品结构的升级有正向作用,而投资效率的提高对出口产品结构改善有负向作用。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has achieved rapid growth. The GDP, calculated at constant prices of that year, has increased 113-fold from 1980 to 2012, and the total economic volume has increased several times in more than 30 years, creating a miracle in the history of world economic development. However, behind this economic growth rate, there are also many problems, such as excessive consumption of resources, environmental pollution, widening gap between rich and poor, and a series of economic and social problems. Among these problems, the most prominent one is the mode of economic development. Changing the mode of economic development has increasingly become the primary issue of China's sustained and rapid economic growth. Economic structure includes many structural problems, such as industrial structure, income distribution structure, urban-rural development difference structure and so on. In the process of changing the mode of economic development, the realization of economic restructuring occupies a central position. This paper holds that the adjustment of the demand structure of our country is faced with two urgent problems: how to adjust the proportion structure of external demand and domestic demand to make the overall operation of the national economy more reasonable and stable, and how to adjust the structure of export products of external demand. Make the export of external demand more competitive. This paper studies the current economic structure of our country from the perspective of the influence relationship between the structure of export products and domestic demand, and how to optimize the structure of export products under the background of adjusting the structure of domestic demand and export of external demand. To realize the optimal allocation of resources in the export department of external demand in China, and finally to realize the linkage effect of transforming mode, adjusting structure and promoting development. This paper first reviews the relevant literature and theoretical review, analyzes the overall scale characteristics of domestic demand and external demand, and finds that China's economic development has been dominated by domestic demand for more than 30 years since the reform and opening up. After analyzing the structure of domestic demand and external demand, the author finds that the structure of domestic demand in China has been out of balance since 2004, but the structure of external demand has been improved continuously. Then, we use VAR to analyze the influence between the structure of domestic demand and the structure of external demand, and find that the structure of domestic demand will affect the structure of external demand. Finally, by further analyzing the factors of domestic demand that affect the structure of external demand, it is found that the consumption demand of urban residents has a positive effect on the upgrading of China's export product structure, while the improvement of investment efficiency has a negative effect on the improvement of export product structure.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F752.62;F124

【参考文献】