中国经济增长的源泉与动能转换:1952-2015

发布时间：2018-06-21 05:14

  本文选题：经济增长 + 增长源泉　； 参考：《经济问题探索》2017年09期

【摘要】：中国经济放缓已经成为一个世界级的经济现象。关注中国经济增长源泉与动能转换对于有效治理经济减速、促进结构转型,无疑具有重要的现实意义。鉴于此,本文基于1952-2015年数据,运用历史比较法就当前中国经济减速背后的成因进行了客观分析,在可变要素弹性下测度了中国经济增长的动力来源,并将其TFP(全要素生产率)分解为技术进步、技术效率、规模效应和要素配置效应,进一步挖掘TFP黑箱。最后本文建议继续全面深化改革,破除动力转换的制度障碍;继续推进供给侧结构性改革,深化需求侧管理;构建TFP考核指标,保障要素的自由流动等。
[Abstract]:China's economic slowdown has become a world-class economic phenomenon. There is no doubt that paying attention to the source of Chinese economic growth and the transformation of kinetic energy is of great practical significance for effectively managing the economic slowdown and promoting the structural transformation. In view of this, based on the data from 1952 to 2015, this paper makes an objective analysis of the causes behind the current economic slowdown in China by using the historical comparative method, and measures the power sources of China's economic growth under the variable element elasticity. The TFP (Total Factor Productivity) is decomposed into technological progress, technical efficiency, scale effect and factor allocation effect, and further excavates the TFP black box. Finally, this paper proposes to continue to deepen the reform in an all-round way, to break down the institutional barriers to power transformation; to continue to promote supply-side structural reform and deepen demand-side management; to construct TFP assessment indicators to ensure the free flow of elements, and so on.
【作者单位】： 中国航空综合技术研究所;华中科技大学经济学院;华中科技大学国家治理研究院;
【基金】：国家重点研发计划“NQI对国民经济和社会发展贡献研究”(2016YFF0204202),项目负责人:蒋家东 国家社科基金重大项目“基于创新驱动的产业结构优化升级研究”(12&ZD045),项目负责人:张建华
【分类号】：F124.1
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本文编号：2047387