东北地区经济增长与环境质量关系研究

发布时间：2018-07-16 13:25

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国经济不断增长,工业化的推进速度不断加快,但随之而来的经济问题也着实令人担忧。经济增长和环境质量似乎是一对矛盾体,二者相互作用,相互影响,但其内在的作用机制并不是显而易见的。为了解决这一问题,首要的就是去发现它们相互作用的规律。这么多年以来,国内外很多学者基于这个问题做了各种研究、各种尝试,不同学者有不同的研究方法和研究结果,但这其中最具代表性的是由库兹涅茨提出的EKC“倒U型”曲线假说。目前,东北地区对这方面的研究并不多,更多的研究都是针对较发达的地区。但东北地区作为老工业基地,资源消耗量、污染物排放量都较多,对该地区进行研究及时发现其经济增长与环境质量的内在作用机制,进而制定正确的解决方案更是意义重大。本文将环境库兹涅茨曲线理论应用于东北地区,用1993年到2012年东北地区的环境和经济指标对该理论进行验证,试图发现该地区经济与环境的变化规律。得出的结论如下： 1.选取六方面的环境绝对量和相对量指标(共12个)与经济指标(人均GDP)进行回归分析,得到的曲线有“U型”、“N型”、“倒N型”等,而非环境库兹涅茨“倒U型”曲线,这意味着该假说存在一定局限性。并非在所有地区、所有时期都使用,具体问题还要具体分析。 2.工业“三废”的绝对排放量和工业废气的相对排放量(排放强度)等环境指标随经济的增长而呈现恶化的态势,其他环境指标随之呈现向好态势。 3.对环境污染物的绝对排放量和相对排放量与经济指标的拟合结果进行比较分析,发现经济增长对污染物排放强度的负面影响小于对绝对排放量的负面影响。 4.通过对东北地区环境和经济关系的研究分析,提出优生优育,提高人口质量、加强耕地利用的可持续性、优化产业结构,促进经济转型发展、加快技术创新,倡导低碳生产、改善环保投资结构,提高环保投资效率等政策建议以促进东北地区经济持续健康发展。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the economy of our country has been growing continuously, and the speed of industrialization has been speeding up, but the following economic problems are also worrisome. Economic growth and environmental quality seem to be a pair of contradictions, they interact and affect each other, but their internal mechanism is not obvious. In order to solve this problem, the first thing is to discover the law of their interaction. Over the years, many scholars at home and abroad have made various studies and made various attempts based on this problem. Different scholars have different research methods and research results. But the most representative is the EKC "inverted U" curve hypothesis put forward by Kuznets. At present, there are few researches on this aspect in Northeast China, and more researches are aimed at the more developed areas. However, as an old industrial base, there are more resource consumption and pollutant discharge in Northeast China. It is very important to find out the internal mechanism of its economic growth and environmental quality in time, and to make a correct solution. In this paper, the environmental Kuznets curve theory is applied to the northeast region, and the environmental and economic indexes of the northeast region from 1993 to 2012 are used to verify the theory, and try to find out the law of economic and environmental change in this region. The conclusions are as follows: 1. The regression analysis of six aspects of environmental absolute and relative indexes (12) and economic indicators (per capita GDP) shows that the curves obtained include "U type", "N type", "inverted N type" and so on, instead of "inverted U type" curve of environmental Kuznets. This means that the hypothesis has some limitations. Not all regions, all periods of time use, specific problems need to be analyzed. 2. The absolute emissions of industrial "three wastes" and the relative emissions (emission intensity) of industrial waste gas have deteriorated with the economic growth, and other environmental indicators have shown a positive trend. 3. By comparing and analyzing the fitting results between the absolute and relative emissions of environmental pollutants and economic indicators, it is found that the negative effects of economic growth on the emission intensity of pollutants are less than those on absolute emissions. 4. Based on the research and analysis of the relationship between environment and economy in Northeast China, it is put forward that, to improve the quality of population, to enhance the sustainability of cultivated land use, to optimize industrial structure, to promote economic transformation and development, to speed up technological innovation, and to advocate low-carbon production. Improving the structure of environmental protection investment and improving the efficiency of environmental protection investment can promote the sustainable and healthy development of economy in Northeast China.
【学位授予单位】：东北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F224;X22

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