中国地区产业结构形态变迁态势及其内生动因

发布时间：2018-08-05 10:07

【摘要】：对产业集群演变与成因的深入分析需进一步引入地区产业结构变迁理论,融合新结构经济学中地区比较优势产业演进与新经济地理学中有关理论,构建产业结构形态变迁与内生动力驱动关系的理论框架。采用2005-2014年中国279个地级市数据,从消费结构、要素禀赋、对外贸易与技术进步四个方面实证分析我国产业结构形态变迁与内生动力的关系。研究显示:内生动力驱动现阶段我国各地区产业结构形态整体上呈集聚态势;门槛效应检验表明不同阈值区间的内生动力对产业结构形态变迁的作用存在差异;低水平区间内的技术进步促进地区产业多样性,高水平区间内则转变为促进集聚态势;对外贸易改善对集聚态势有持续性的促进作用;劳动力质量提升、资本深化驱动产业结构形态趋于多样性态势。资本深化与消费结构水平较低是制约我国现阶段地区产业结构形态高级化的"短板"。
[Abstract]:The further analysis of the evolution and cause of industrial cluster needs to introduce the theory of regional industrial structure change, and combine the theories of regional comparative advantage industry evolution and new economic geography in the new structural economics. To construct the theoretical framework of the relationship between industrial structure change and endogenous driving force. Based on the data of 279 prefecture-level cities in China from 2005 to 2014, this paper empirically analyzes the relationship between the changes of industrial structure and endogenous power in terms of consumption structure, factor endowment, foreign trade and technological progress. The results show that: the endogenous driving force drives the industrial structure in different regions of China at the present stage, and the threshold effect test shows that there are differences in the role of endogenous power in different threshold regions on the changes of industrial structure morphology. The technological progress in the low level zone promotes the regional industrial diversity, while the high level area changes to promote the agglomeration situation; the improvement of foreign trade promotes the agglomeration situation continuously; the quality of labor force is improved. Capital deepening drives industrial structure to be diversified. The low level of capital deepening and consumption structure is the "short board" that restricts the advanced industrial structure of our country at present.
【作者单位】：北京师范大学经济与资源管理研究院;
【分类号】：F121.3

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