我国创业、就业与经济增长的关系研究
发布时间：2018-08-31 10:59
【摘要】：在21世纪世界新格局的较量中,如何加快经济增长和提升经济实力,是我国迫切需要解决的时代课题。作为推动经济增长的重要因素,创业正成为一种时代的主流。一方面,创业可以推动科技创新,推动新产品、新发明的出现,从而推动经济增长;另一方面,创业对于现代市场体系的完善、资源更合理的配置,对于整个经济国际竞争力的提升都有着非常重要的作用。就中国的国情而言,我国劳动力资源丰富,当前和今后一个时期,就业再就业形势依然严峻,压力仍然较大,劳动力供大于求的矛盾仍很突出。推动个人自主创业也是缓解就业矛盾,维护社会稳定的一个重要途径。本文首先从理论出发梳理了创业、就业与经济增长的内涵,理清了它们之间的机理作用;其次,采用我国1995年至2015年的宏观年度数据构建了VAR模型,实证分析了创业、就业与经济增长之间的关系;最后根据VAR模型的估计利用脉冲响应函数和方差分解预测了未来30期内它们之间的作用大小。结果发现:第一,创业不仅能够促进经济增长,还能够带来就业;第二,经济增长的滞后一期对就业有积极的作用,但在滞后二期后却是负作用;第三,创业和就业之间是相互影响的,而经济增长与就业和创业之间只有单向的影响关系;第四,经济增长对就业的贡献率大于创业对就业的贡献率。因此,创业、经济增长和就业之间存在着循环促进的关系。根据结论文章还提出了相关的建议。
[Abstract]:In the 21st century, how to speed up the economic growth and enhance the economic strength is an urgent need to be solved in China. As an important factor to promote economic growth, entrepreneurship is becoming the mainstream of the times. On the one hand, entrepreneurship can promote scientific and technological innovation, promote the emergence of new products and inventions, and thus promote economic growth. On the other hand, entrepreneurship is more rational in allocating resources to the perfection of the modern market system. For the promotion of international competitiveness of the entire economy has a very important role. As far as China's national conditions are concerned, our country is rich in labor resources. At present and in the future, the employment and re-employment situation is still severe, the pressure is still great, and the contradiction that labor force supply exceeds demand is still outstanding. Promoting individual self-employment is also an important way to ease employment conflicts and maintain social stability. This paper firstly combs the connotation of entrepreneurship, employment and economic growth, and clarifies the mechanism between them. Secondly, we construct the VAR model by using the macro-annual data from 1995 to 2015, and analyze entrepreneurship empirically. Finally, the relationship between employment and economic growth is predicted by using impulse response function and variance decomposition according to the estimation of VAR model. The results show that: first, entrepreneurship can not only promote economic growth, but also bring employment; second, the lag of economic growth has a positive effect on employment, but it has a negative effect after lagging behind the second phase; third, The relationship between economic growth and employment and entrepreneurship is unidirectional. Fourth, the contribution of economic growth to employment is greater than that of entrepreneurship to employment. Therefore, there is a circular relationship between entrepreneurship, economic growth and employment. According to the conclusion, the paper also puts forward some relevant suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：南昌大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F279.2;F249.2;F124.1
本文编号：2214779
[Abstract]:In the 21st century, how to speed up the economic growth and enhance the economic strength is an urgent need to be solved in China. As an important factor to promote economic growth, entrepreneurship is becoming the mainstream of the times. On the one hand, entrepreneurship can promote scientific and technological innovation, promote the emergence of new products and inventions, and thus promote economic growth. On the other hand, entrepreneurship is more rational in allocating resources to the perfection of the modern market system. For the promotion of international competitiveness of the entire economy has a very important role. As far as China's national conditions are concerned, our country is rich in labor resources. At present and in the future, the employment and re-employment situation is still severe, the pressure is still great, and the contradiction that labor force supply exceeds demand is still outstanding. Promoting individual self-employment is also an important way to ease employment conflicts and maintain social stability. This paper firstly combs the connotation of entrepreneurship, employment and economic growth, and clarifies the mechanism between them. Secondly, we construct the VAR model by using the macro-annual data from 1995 to 2015, and analyze entrepreneurship empirically. Finally, the relationship between employment and economic growth is predicted by using impulse response function and variance decomposition according to the estimation of VAR model. The results show that: first, entrepreneurship can not only promote economic growth, but also bring employment; second, the lag of economic growth has a positive effect on employment, but it has a negative effect after lagging behind the second phase; third, The relationship between economic growth and employment and entrepreneurship is unidirectional. Fourth, the contribution of economic growth to employment is greater than that of entrepreneurship to employment. Therefore, there is a circular relationship between entrepreneurship, economic growth and employment. According to the conclusion, the paper also puts forward some relevant suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：南昌大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F279.2;F249.2;F124.1
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