中日与东盟贸易相互依存关系比较分析
发布时间：2018-10-09 17:01
【摘要】：近些年来，东盟经济在不断增长，实力在不断增强，在亚太地区的影响力不断增大，并且在亚洲事务中发挥着越来越重要的作用。受自身利益的驱使，中国与日本都想与东盟建立良好的合作关系。深入分析中国与东盟、日本与东盟之间的关系，有利于构建稳定和平的地区环境，并且，还利于中国开展睦邻友好的外交关系。 就长期来看，中国与东盟的经贸关系可以概况为：持续、健康、稳定，双方的经济关系越来越亲密，经贸交往也越来越密切，20世纪90年代初，掀开了中国与东盟经贸合作的接触沟通。1997年，东南亚金融危机爆发，在这次危机中，中国受到的冲击力较东盟其他国家小，此外，中国所树立的“负责任大国”的形象给东南亚国家的人民和政府留下了深刻印象。到21世纪后，中国与东盟的经济合作全面展开。2001年，中国和东盟举办了第五届领导人会议上，会上，双方达成了十年内建立中国东盟自由贸易区的决议，提出建立东盟10+1经济合作框架，经过双方的共同的努力，2010年中国东盟自贸区得以建立。自贸区的建立为双方开展贸易提供了更多的便利，双边贸易额剧增。1990年双边贸易额仅为74亿美元，为日本东盟贸易额的十分之一，到2009年，中国与东盟的贸易额首次超过了日本，并且有不断扩大的趋势，到2011年中国和东盟的贸易额达到3022亿美元，日本和东盟的贸易额仅为2550亿美元。在这二十多年里，中国与东盟的贸易额增长了四十多倍，而日本和东盟的贸易额仅仅增长了四倍多，可见，中国与东盟贸易关系有更大的潜力。 相比较而言，日本比中国更早地开始了与东盟的贸易。在东盟刚建立的时候，日本就与东盟的部分国家的经贸关系很密切，当时，美国和中国都正忙于处理国内事务，，都无暇顾及与东盟发展经贸关系。这给日本创造了良好的外部条件，再加上日本具有雄厚的资金，优良的地域条件，这些都有利于日本扩大、巩固东盟市场。然而，到二十世纪九十年代，日本的优势受到内外部的挑战。二十世纪90年代，日本经济陷于停滞，此时的日本使出浑身解数来克服经济危机出现的问题，而对于在与东盟经贸合作中的优势地位已无力维持。同时，中国和美国都开始注重与东盟国家的贸易发展，这也给日本带来一定的冲击。分析近十三年的数据可以发现，中国与东盟的贸易相互依赖程度有了较大的提升，而日本与东盟的贸易相互依赖程度提升却很慢。对于亚洲经济合作的主导权，日本和东盟都想获取，而中国更为支持后者，这在一定程度上加深了中国与东盟之间的经济相互依赖关系。本文首先概述了中日与东盟发展贸易关系涉及的理论、相关的文献综述，其次分别分析了中日与东盟贸易关系的特点，然后利用贸易相互依赖度和贸易结合度来分析在东盟的经济相互依赖关系发展过程中，中国与东盟的紧密程度是否相对上升，而日本是否相对下降，最后分析中国的优势以及为了使双方贸易更好发展的建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the ASEAN economy has been growing, its strength has been increasing, the influence in the Asia-Pacific region continues to grow, and it plays an increasingly important role in the Asian affairs. Driven by its own interests, China and Japan want to establish good cooperative relations with ASEAN. In-depth analysis of the relationship between China and ASEAN, Japan and ASEAN is conducive to the establishment of stable and peaceful regional environment, and it is also conducive to the development of good-neighborly and friendly relations between China and ASEAN. In the long term, the economic and trade relations between China and ASEAN can be summarized as follows: sustained, healthy and stable, the economic relations between the two sides become more and more close, economic and trade exchanges are becoming more and more closely, and in the early 1990s, the contacts and communication between China and ASEAN economic and trade cooperation have been opened. 199 In the past seven years, the Southeast Asian financial crisis broke out. In this crisis, the impact force of China was smaller than that of other ASEAN countries. In addition, the image of the 鈥淏e responsible for any big country鈥
本文编号：2260087
[Abstract]:In recent years, the ASEAN economy has been growing, its strength has been increasing, the influence in the Asia-Pacific region continues to grow, and it plays an increasingly important role in the Asian affairs. Driven by its own interests, China and Japan want to establish good cooperative relations with ASEAN. In-depth analysis of the relationship between China and ASEAN, Japan and ASEAN is conducive to the establishment of stable and peaceful regional environment, and it is also conducive to the development of good-neighborly and friendly relations between China and ASEAN. In the long term, the economic and trade relations between China and ASEAN can be summarized as follows: sustained, healthy and stable, the economic relations between the two sides become more and more close, economic and trade exchanges are becoming more and more closely, and in the early 1990s, the contacts and communication between China and ASEAN economic and trade cooperation have been opened. 199 In the past seven years, the Southeast Asian financial crisis broke out. In this crisis, the impact force of China was smaller than that of other ASEAN countries. In addition, the image of the 鈥淏e responsible for any big country鈥
本文编号：2260087
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