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长三角主导产业的空间结构演化研究

发布时间:2018-11-01 16:47
【摘要】:改革开放以来,长三角经济与产业都实现了跨越式发展,取得了优异的成绩。随着全球经济一体化趋势的发展,国际化分工日益明显,中国凭借劳动力优势成为制造大国,长三角更是以其制造业的绝对优势成为了推动全国经济快速增长的重要地区。然而,面临近几年我国劳动力优势逐渐降低、能源日渐紧缺以及环境保护限制,长三角地区的制造业优势正在日渐丧失,现今长三角地区的主导产业空间结构是否合理,未来其主导产业空间结构的如何变化,才能保证长三角地区经济继续稳固增长是社会各界共同关注的焦点。 本文将主导产业理论与产业空间结构理论相结合,并利用重心方法,研究长三角主导产业的空间结构演化的演化轨迹及影响因素。首先利用主成分分析法选择长三角主导产业,从中选择三个代表性产业,,即黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业、通用设备制造业和计算机与通信设备制造业作为研究对象。然后确定主导产业空间结构演化的测算参数-产业重心、产业重心移动距离、区域匀质指数和区域重量,对以上三个产业的空间结构演化进行轨迹描述,得到以黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业、通用设备制造业和计算机与通信设备制造业为代表的长三角主导产业的空间结构演化轨迹:产业重心的转移方向都是从东南向西北转移;产业重心都是从浙江省转移到江苏省。并对长三角主导产业的空间结构演化特征进行分析,得出长三角主导产业的空间结构演化特征。最后提出长三角主导产业空间结构演化影响因素的理论假设,建立计量模型,从自然优势、集聚经济、产业结构和市场需求四个方面对长三角主导产业的空间结构演化的影响因素进行量化分析,得出长三角各城市的黑色金属冶炼及压延加工业、通用设备制造业和计算机与通信设备制造业的影响因子以及影响大小。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the Yangtze River Delta economy and industry have achieved leapfrog development and achieved excellent results. With the development of global economic integration, the international division of labor becomes more and more obvious. China has become a manufacturing country by virtue of its labor advantages, and the Yangtze River Delta has become an important region to promote the rapid economic growth of the whole country with the absolute advantage of its manufacturing industry. However, in recent years, the advantages of labor force in our country have gradually decreased, the energy resources are becoming increasingly scarce and the environmental protection is restricted. The manufacturing advantage of the Yangtze River Delta region is losing day by day. Is the spatial structure of the leading industry in the Yangtze River Delta region reasonable or not? How to change the spatial structure of leading industries in the future can ensure the steady economic growth of the Yangtze River Delta region is the focus of common concern of all walks of life. In this paper, the theory of leading industry and the theory of industrial spatial structure are combined, and the evolution of spatial structure of leading industries in Yangtze River Delta is studied by using the method of gravity. Firstly, the principal component analysis (PCA) is used to select the leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta, and three representative industries, namely, the ferrous metal smelting and calender processing industry, the general equipment manufacturing industry and the computer and communication equipment manufacturing industry, are selected as the research objects. Then determine the measurement parameters of the spatial structure evolution of leading industries-industrial gravity center, industrial gravity center moving distance, regional homogeneity index and regional weight, and describe the evolution of the spatial structure of the three industries. The evolution trajectory of spatial structure of leading industries in Yangtze River Delta, represented by ferrous metal smelting and calender processing industry, general equipment manufacturing industry and computer and communication equipment manufacturing industry, is obtained: the shift direction of industry center of gravity is from southeast to northwest; The industrial center of gravity is transferred from Zhejiang Province to Jiangsu Province. The spatial structure evolution characteristics of the leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta are analyzed, and the evolution characteristics of the spatial structure of the leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta are obtained. Finally, the theoretical hypothesis of the factors influencing the evolution of the spatial structure of leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta is put forward, and the econometric model is established to gather the economy from the natural advantages. The factors influencing the evolution of spatial structure of leading industries in the Yangtze River Delta are analyzed quantitatively from four aspects of industrial structure and market demand, and it is concluded that the ferrous metal smelting and calender processing industry in the cities of the Yangtze River Delta. General equipment manufacturing and computer and communication equipment manufacturing factors and the impact of the size.
【学位授予单位】:哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F127

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