基于空间视角的中国对“一带一路”沿线国家直接投资影响因素研究
发布时间：2019-07-02 12:35
【摘要】：2013年习近平总书记提出的“一带一路”战略助推了中国对外直接投资的加速发展,同时加大对“一带一路”沿线国家的投资也是推动国际产能合作和实现“一带一路”战略的关键一环。鉴于“一带一路”沿线国家的异质性特征和空间关联,本文运用2005-2015年中国对“一带一路”沿线48个国家直接投资的数据,通过构建空间面板模型,实证检验中国对沿线国家直接投资的影响因素和第三国效应,分析中国对沿线国家直接投资的影响因素。本文首先在对相关理论和文献进行梳理的基础上,分析了中国在沿线国家直接投资的现状;接下来运用莫兰指数进行了中国OFDI的空间自相关检验,进而通过建立空间滞后模型(SAR)和空间误差模型(SEM)研究中国OFDI的第三国效应和影响因素;最后将沿线国家按收入水平差异分为两组,对比分析在不同发展水平的东道国,中国OFDI影响因素的差异。本文发现(1)中国在“一带一路”沿线的对外直接投资存在第三国效应,中国OFDI的集聚效应是第三国效应的主要来源,第三国市场潜力和来自第三国的不可测因素同样是影响中国OFDI的重要因素;(2)东道国异质性因素如自然资源可得性、基础实施水平、劳动力成本和中国对东道国出口等对中国OFDI的影响显著,但这些因素对不同收入水平国家的影响有所差异。
[Abstract]:The "Belt and Road Initiative" strategy put forward by General Secretary Xi Jinping in 2013 promoted the accelerated development of China's foreign direct investment. At the same time, increasing investment in countries along the "Belt and Road Initiative" route is also a key link in promoting international capacity cooperation and realizing the "3500" strategy. In view of the heterogeneity and spatial correlation of the countries along "Belt and Road Initiative", this paper uses the data of China's direct investment in 48 countries along "Belt and Road Initiative" from 2005 to 2015, and empirically tests the influencing factors and third country effects of China's direct investment to the countries along the route by constructing the spatial panel model, and analyzes the influencing factors of China's direct investment to the countries along the route. Firstly, on the basis of combing the relevant theories and literature, this paper analyzes the present situation of Chinese direct investment in countries along the route, then uses Moran index to test the spatial autocorrelation of OFDI in China, and then studies the third country effect and influencing factors of OFDI in China by establishing spatial lag model (SAR) and spatial error model (SEM). Finally, the countries along the route are divided into two groups according to the income level difference, and the differences of influencing factors of OFDI in the host country with different development levels are compared and analyzed. In this paper, it is found that (1) there is a third country effect in China's foreign direct investment along the "Belt and Road Initiative" route. The agglomeration effect of China's OFDI is the main source of the third country effect. The market potential of the third country and the unpredictable factors from the third country are also important factors affecting China's OFDI; (2) the host country heterogeneity factors, such as the availability of natural resources, the level of basic implementation, labor costs and Chinese exports to the host country, have significant effects on China's OFDI, but these factors have different effects on countries with different income levels.
【学位授予单位】：昆明理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125
[Abstract]:The "Belt and Road Initiative" strategy put forward by General Secretary Xi Jinping in 2013 promoted the accelerated development of China's foreign direct investment. At the same time, increasing investment in countries along the "Belt and Road Initiative" route is also a key link in promoting international capacity cooperation and realizing the "3500" strategy. In view of the heterogeneity and spatial correlation of the countries along "Belt and Road Initiative", this paper uses the data of China's direct investment in 48 countries along "Belt and Road Initiative" from 2005 to 2015, and empirically tests the influencing factors and third country effects of China's direct investment to the countries along the route by constructing the spatial panel model, and analyzes the influencing factors of China's direct investment to the countries along the route. Firstly, on the basis of combing the relevant theories and literature, this paper analyzes the present situation of Chinese direct investment in countries along the route, then uses Moran index to test the spatial autocorrelation of OFDI in China, and then studies the third country effect and influencing factors of OFDI in China by establishing spatial lag model (SAR) and spatial error model (SEM). Finally, the countries along the route are divided into two groups according to the income level difference, and the differences of influencing factors of OFDI in the host country with different development levels are compared and analyzed. In this paper, it is found that (1) there is a third country effect in China's foreign direct investment along the "Belt and Road Initiative" route. The agglomeration effect of China's OFDI is the main source of the third country effect. The market potential of the third country and the unpredictable factors from the third country are also important factors affecting China's OFDI; (2) the host country heterogeneity factors, such as the availability of natural resources, the level of basic implementation, labor costs and Chinese exports to the host country, have significant effects on China's OFDI, but these factors have different effects on countries with different income levels.
【学位授予单位】：昆明理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F125
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前10条
1 杨道玲;王t熻，
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