房价与产业结构、城乡收入差距间的互动规律

发布时间：2018-01-04 18:26

本文关键词：房价与产业结构、城乡收入差距间的互动规律　出处：《华南农业大学学报(社会科学版)》2017年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：为厘清房价与产业结构、城乡收入差距之间的互动关系,判断三者关系中所蕴含的矛盾、问题,构建了一个基于2001—2015年省级面板数据的PVAR模型。通过该模型的估计、脉冲响应分析和方差分解,发现:从全国总体情况来看,房价有利于提升产业结构层次,但也造成城乡收入差距扩大,后者又会对房价和产业结构升级产生负面作用;在东部地区,房价和产业结构层次之间呈相互的正向促进关系,房价上涨也能导致城乡收入差距扩大,不过东部产业结构的升级又会缩小城乡收入差距;在中部地区,房价上涨会降低产业结构层次并扩大城乡收入差距,而城乡收入差距扩大又会对房价带来较明显的抑制作用;在西部地区,房价上涨有利于提高产业结构层次,但其幅度相对不足,进一步地,西部产业结构的升级却会扩大城乡收入差距,城乡收入差距的扩大又会直接抑制产业结构层次的提高。
[Abstract]:To clarify the price and industrial structure, the interactive relationship between the income gap between urban and rural areas, to judge the contradiction, inherent relationship between the three, a PVAR model is built at the provincial level panel data from 2001 to 2015. Based on the estimated by the model, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition, we found: from the overall situation, housing prices to enhance the level of industrial structure, but also caused the expansion of income gap between urban and rural areas, which will have a negative effect on housing price and the upgrading of the industrial structure; in the eastern region, positively promote the mutual relationship between prices and the level of industrial structure, housing prices can also lead to the expansion of income gap between urban and rural areas, but the eastern part of the upgrading of industrial structure will reduce income gap between urban and rural areas; in the central region, housing prices will reduce the level of industrial structure and expand the income gap between urban and rural areas, the income gap between urban and rural residents will bring on housing prices than the Significant inhibitory effect; in the western region, housing prices are beneficial to improve the level of industrial structure, but its range is relatively insufficient, further, the upgrading of industrial structure will expand the income gap between urban and rural areas, expanding the income gap between urban and rural areas will directly inhibit the level of industrial structure is improved.

【作者单位】：广东白云学院;华南师范大学经济与管理学院;
【基金】：江西省社会科学“十三五”规划青年项目(16YJ189)
【分类号】：F121.3;F124.7;F299.23
【正文快照】： (1)在1998—2009年间,我国城镇居民人均可支配收入与农村居民人均纯收入的比值从2.51增加至3.33(迄今最高值),2009年后虽有下降,但2015年的比值仍保持在2.90;而且,城乡人均收入指标的比值近年虽有所收缩,但其差值仍在不断拉大(如图1所示),如果考虑到隐性收入和灰色收入,城乡收

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