住房价格对人力资本的筛选作用：理论与实证

发布时间：2018-01-12 17:19

本文关键词：住房价格对人力资本的筛选作用：理论与实证　出处：《华中师范大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：给人留下了深刻印象。对某一个城市而言,我们不禁想问,住房价格上涨对该城市发展有着什么样的影响?住房价格上涨是否能培育出该城市的内生增长动力?其作用机制和路径又是什么样的?基于此,本文将依据内生增长理论和实证的研究方法,从人力资本跨区选择与流动角度,探讨住房价格对人力资本的筛选作用,尝试回答这些问题。具体地,本文试图从城市内部的自生能力、城市之间要素梯级流动的视角,解释住房价格,同时,运用实证方法检验住房价格对人力资本的筛选作用,以期为地方政府促进人才聚集、经济持续增长提供政策方面的参考。为此,文章梳理了国内外住房价格驱动因素、人力资本与收入、住房价格与人力资本跨区流动的相关理论与文献,并做简要评述。在此基础上,文章创新性地依据要素的可流动性,构建了一个城市内生发展的理论模型。在实证部分,文章运用全国35个大中城市2006-2013年的面板数据,经LSDV检验后,采用混合回归分析了住房价格、工资水平与人力资本水平的关系。实证发现,(1)从增量的角度看,规模越大,房价越高的城市,增量流入的人力资本水平越高(筛选作用)；(2)从存量的角度看,规模越大,房价越高的城市,存量人力资本从住房价格上涨中获得的财富收益越多(财富效应),其人力资本的产出水平越低(挤出效应)；(3)综合住房价格对人力资本产生的财富效应和挤出效应,人力资本的这种跨区域流动现象,对流入地经济增长的净效应是复杂的,有可能是一种倒U型关系。主要结论有：住房价格对人力资本具有筛选作用。城市的住房价格水平对应一定的工资水平,高学历劳动者为高工资所吸引聚集到对应城市,提高了该城市的人力资本水平,并促进该城市规模扩大,进一步提高工资水平,吸引更多高学历劳动者聚集,同时城市住房价格逐渐上涨,将挤出低收入的低学历劳动者,而该城市的高工资水平继续吸引高学历劳动者,但当住房价格上涨到一定水平,由于财富效应的作用,会挤出存量人力资本的潜在产出水平,进而抑制城市内生增长能力。因此,住房价格通过人力资本的筛选作用,对城市经济发展的动态影响可能呈倒U型特征。本文的研究也存在许多不足之处,文章最后做了详细讨论,并提出了研究展望。
[Abstract]:It's impressive. For a city, we can't help asking, what is the impact of rising housing prices on the development of that city? Will rising housing prices foster the city's endogenous growth momentum? What is the mechanism and path of its action? Based on this, based on the endogenous growth theory and empirical research methods, from the perspective of human capital cross-regional selection and flow, this paper will explore the role of housing prices in the screening of human capital, and try to answer these questions. This paper attempts to explain the housing price from the perspective of the endogenous capacity of the city and the cascade flow of the elements between cities. At the same time, it uses the empirical method to test the role of housing price in the screening of human capital. In order to promote the local government to promote the accumulation of talent, economic growth to provide policy reference. Therefore, the article combed the driving factors of domestic and foreign housing prices, human capital and income. Based on the theory and literature of housing price and human capital transregional mobility, the paper innovatively bases on the mobility of elements. This paper constructs a theoretical model of urban endogenous development. In the empirical part, the paper uses the panel data of 35 large and medium-sized cities in China from 2006 to 2013, after LSDV test. The paper uses mixed regression analysis to analyze the relationship between housing price, wage level and human capital level. The empirical results show that from the perspective of increment, the larger the scale, the higher the housing price. The higher the human capital level of incremental inflow; From the stock point of view, the larger the scale, the higher the housing prices, the more wealth the stock of human capital gains from rising housing prices (wealth effect). The lower the output level of human capital is (extrusion effect); 3) the wealth effect and crowding out effect of comprehensive housing price on human capital, the phenomenon of human capital flowing across regions, the net effect on the economic growth of floating land is complex. The main conclusion is that housing price has a screening effect on human capital, and the housing price level of the city corresponds to a certain wage level. Highly educated workers are attracted to the corresponding city by high wages, which improves the human capital level of the city, and promotes the expansion of the city scale, further improve the wage level, attract more highly educated workers to gather. At the same time, urban housing prices are gradually rising, will crowd out low-income low-educated workers, and the city's high wage level continues to attract high-educated workers, but when housing prices rise to a certain level. Because of the effect of wealth, the potential output level of the stock human capital will be squeezed out, and the endogenous growth ability of the city will be restrained. Therefore, the housing price is screened by the human capital. The dynamic influence on urban economic development may be of inverted U shape. There are also many deficiencies in this paper. Finally, the paper makes a detailed discussion and puts forward the research prospect.
【学位授予单位】：华中师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F299.23;F249.21

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