基于相似案例分析的风险投资项目选择方法研究

发布时间：2018-04-22 03:04

本文选题：风险投资项目选择 + 项目风险　；参考：《管理评论》2017年08期

【摘要】：风险投资前的项目选择对于风险投资成败有着重要影响,如何进行风险投资项目的选择,是近年来一直备受关注的重要研究课题。本文针对风险投资项目选择问题,提出了一种基于相似案例分析的决策分析方法。在该方法中,首先,计算历史案例与目标案例间的相似度;然后,依据事先设定的相似度阈值来提取相似历史案例,并构建对应于各目标案例的相似历史案例集;进一步地,依据相似历史案例并结合当前实际情况来进行目标案例涉及的风险因素值和收益指标值的计算;在此基础上,通过综合考察目标案例的风险投资项目关于项目风险和项目收益两方面的综合评价值来进行风险投资项目的优选。最后,通过一个实例分析来说明了本文提出方法的可行性与有效性。
[Abstract]:The project selection before venture capital has an important influence on the success or failure of venture capital. How to select venture capital project is an important research topic that has been paid close attention to in recent years. In this paper, a decision analysis method based on similar case analysis is proposed for the selection of venture capital projects. In this method, firstly, the similarity between historical cases and target cases is calculated; then, the similar historical cases are extracted according to the pre-set similarity threshold, and the similar historical case sets corresponding to each target case are constructed. On the basis of similar historical cases and current situation, the value of risk factor and profit index of target case is calculated; on this basis, The optimal selection of venture capital projects is carried out through the comprehensive evaluation of the project risk and the project income of the venture capital project in the target case. Finally, an example is given to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.
【作者单位】：河南工业大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71501063;71603073;71602051) 河南省软科学研究计划项目(172400410388) 河南省省属高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(2014SBS003) 河南省高校人文社科重点研究基地物流研究中心项目(2015-JD-04)
【分类号】：F274;F275

【相似文献】