LB公司花卉园项目投资效益及风险控制研究

发布时间：2018-05-31 15:54

本文选题：项目投资 + 投资效益　；参考：《西南交通大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：投资作为拉动经济增长的"三驾马车"之一,其作用不言而喻。而项目投资作为投资的主要形式,是经济发展的重要前提。但是任何投资项目都必须研究其经济合理性和风险可控性,因此如何对投资项目进行科学的评价并作出正确的决策是投资者及其相关人员需要长期研究的课题。同时,随着国内经济发展进入新常态,国有企业的发展也面临着更加复杂的环境,国有企业如何主动适应日趋激烈的市场竞争,如何利用自身优势实现转型升级和多元化经营,已成为新形势下国有企业发展面临的现实问题。本文基于投资者LB公司的角度,从建设项目背景出发,通过市场调查和投资环境分析,运用"SWOT"分析法和"五力"模型分别分析项目面临的内外部投资环境和市场竞争环境,从而确定项目未来发展战略;其次,在项目投融资方案的基础上,开展收入预测和费用估算工作,并运用静态和动态经济评价方法分别评价项目投资效益,并论证项目的经济可行性;最后,采用定量和定性相结合的方法开展项目投资风险控制研究,通过敏感性分析和概率分析分别定量估算项目的投资风险,然后通过专家调查法识别项目建设和运营过程中可能会面临的风险因素并评估其风险程度,并相应的提出防范和化解的措施。通过本文的研究可以得出本项目具有经济可行性和风险可控性的结论。同时,本文对于类似投资项目开展投资效益分析和风险控制研究提供了一定的决策参考作用。
[Abstract]:Investment as one of the "troika" that stimulates economic growth, its function is self-evident. As the main form of investment, project investment is an important prerequisite for economic development. However, any investment project must study its economic rationality and risk controllability. Therefore, how to evaluate the investment project scientifically and make a correct decision is a long-term research topic for investors and their related personnel. At the same time, with the development of domestic economy entering the new normal, the development of state-owned enterprises is also facing a more complex environment. How to adapt the state-owned enterprises to the increasingly fierce market competition, how to use their own advantages to achieve transformation and diversification. It has become a realistic problem for the development of state-owned enterprises under the new situation. Based on the perspective of LB Company, this paper analyzes the internal and external investment environment and market competition environment of the project through market investigation and investment environment analysis, using "SWOT" analysis method and "five forces" model, respectively. In order to determine the future development strategy of the project; secondly, on the basis of the project investment and financing program, the work of income forecasting and cost estimation is carried out, and the static and dynamic economic evaluation methods are used to evaluate the investment benefit of the project. Finally, using quantitative and qualitative methods to carry out the project investment risk control research, through sensitivity analysis and probability analysis respectively quantitative estimation of the project investment risk, Then the risk factors that may be faced in the construction and operation of the project are identified by the method of expert investigation, and the risk degree is evaluated, and the corresponding measures to prevent and resolve the risk are put forward. Through the research of this paper, we can draw the conclusion that the project has economic feasibility and risk controllability. At the same time, this paper provides a certain reference for similar investment projects to carry out investment benefit analysis and risk control research.
【学位授予单位】：西南交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F324;F272.3;F302.6

【参考文献】