中国电信业对国民经济带动贡献的测算方法研究

发布时间：2018-01-04 07:19

本文关键词：中国电信业对国民经济带动贡献的测算方法研究　出处：《北京邮电大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：中国电信业作为国民经济的基础性、战略性、先导性产业,有力地带动了国民经济的增长和社会的进步。本文主要利用投入产出技术对中国电信业对国民经济的带动贡献进行相关测算。首先,本文概述了选题背景和意义,对电信业及带动贡献的概念进行了界定,提出了本文的研究思路和创新点。对产业关联理论和电信业对国民经济带动贡献的相关文献进行了梳理和综述。其次,介绍投入产出方法的基本原理、传统投入产出模型和产业带动贡献的测算方法。分析传统投入产出方法的不足并针对这些不足之处对模型做出相应的处理和改进,提出改进后的模型及公式。最后,对中国电信业对国民经济带动贡献进行测算和总结。这部分包括分析电信业的发展现状,选择和调整投入产出表,应用改进后的模型和公式测算电信业对国民经济的带动贡献。对本文的测算方法进行评价,并对主要研究结论进行总结。本文研究的主要结论有：2007年我国电信业对国民经济的产业带动系数为2.27,2012年为3.95,其增长率高居各部门榜首,达到73.94%；2007-2012年电信业对国民经济及其各部门的产出绝对贡献都有飞速的增长,其中带动机械设备制造业最多,相对贡献也有一定的增长但不是很突出；2007-2012年电信业对国民经济及其各部门增加值的绝对贡献都有普遍的大幅度的增长,相对贡献增长程度不高。一方面表明我国电信业与国民经济各部门的技术经济联系日益密切,一方面表明我国电信业还有可提升的空间,还需要进一步发展。本文的主要新意：一是针对居民部门、进口项和产出角度三个方面对传统的投入产出模型进行了相应改进,提出了改进后的产业带动模型；二是构建了2012年中国投入产出表基本流量表。
[Abstract]:As the basic, strategic and leading industry of the national economy, China's telecommunications industry. This paper mainly uses input-output technology to measure the contribution of Chinese telecommunication industry to the national economy. First of all, this paper outlines the background and significance of the topic, and defines the concept of telecommunications industry and driving contribution. This paper puts forward the research ideas and innovation points of this paper, and summarizes the relevant literature on the theory of industrial relevance and the contribution of telecommunications to the national economy. Secondly, the basic principle of input-output method is introduced. The traditional input-output model and the measurement method of industry-driven contribution are analyzed, and the corresponding treatment and improvement of these input-output methods are made, and the improved model and formula are put forward. Finally, the contribution of China's telecommunications industry to the national economy is measured and summarized. This part includes the analysis of the current situation of the telecommunications industry, selection and adjustment of input-output tables. Applying the improved model and formula to estimate the contribution of telecommunication industry to the national economy, this paper evaluates the calculation methods and summarizes the main research conclusions. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: in 2007, the industrial driving coefficient of China's telecommunications industry to the national economy was 2.27, and in 2012 it was 3.95. Its growth rate was the highest in all departments. 73.94; From 2007 to 2012, the absolute contribution of telecommunication industry to the national economy and its various sectors has increased rapidly, among which the machinery and equipment manufacturing industry is the most driven, and the relative contribution has a certain growth, but not very prominent; Between 2007 and 2012, the absolute contribution of the telecommunications industry to the national economy and its various sectors increased substantially. The relative contribution growth degree is not high. On the one hand, it indicates that the technical and economic relationship between China's telecom industry and various sectors of the national economy is increasingly close; on the other hand, it indicates that China's telecommunications industry still has room for improvement and needs further development. The main new ideas of this paper are as follows: firstly, the traditional input-output model is improved from the aspects of resident department, import item and output angle, and the improved industry-driven model is put forward. The second is to construct the basic flow table of China's input-output table in 2012.
【学位授予单位】：北京邮电大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F626;F124

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