房地产宏观调控政策对长沙市商品住宅价格的影响分析研究

发布时间：2017-12-30 21:31

本文关键词：房地产宏观调控政策对长沙市商品住宅价格的影响分析研究　出处：《湖南师范大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：通过近些年来的快速发展,房地产业已经成为我国国民经济中的支柱产业,尤其是商品住宅及其价格与民生息息相关,商品住宅价格的稳定对社会经济和国民生活有着至关重要的意义。但由于房地产市场机制的调节失灵,越来越多的问题被暴露出来。针对这些问题,中央政府积极出台行业、土地、金融等房地产宏观调控政策,利用“限购”、“限贷”、土地出让管理等多种手法对房价进行综合调控。自2010年以来,面对全国整体过快上涨的房价,中央频出重拳,被称为“史上最严厉的调控政策”。在严格的政策环境中,对商品住宅价格的调控效果和发展趋势特征的研究具有格外重要的理论和现实意义。本文以2010-2012年紧缩性房地产宏观调控政策为背景环境,以长沙市商品住宅价格为研究对象,从市场供给、需求、供需关系和价格指数四个方面,系统分析宏观调控政策下长沙市房地产市场及商品住宅价格的发展现状和特征,并结合空间分析方法,对长沙市商品住宅价格的空间分布特征及动力机制进行分析和研究。同时依据预测模型从数量上对商品住宅价格的发展趋势进行预测,最终结合长沙市房地产当前具体情况,从五个方面提出关于宏观调控政策的建议,以期对下阶段商品住宅价格的宏观调控有所帮助。
[Abstract]:Through the rapid development in recent years, the real estate industry has become the pillar industry in our national economy, especially the commodity housing and its price is closely related to the people's livelihood. The stability of commodity housing price is of vital significance to the social economy and national life. However, due to the failure of the real estate market mechanism, more and more problems have been exposed. The central government has actively introduced macro-control policies on real estate, such as industry, land, finance and so on. It has made comprehensive adjustment and control on house prices by means of "limited purchase", "restricted loan", and land transfer management. Since 2010. In the face of the rapid rise of housing prices in the whole country, the central government frequently gives a heavy blow, which is called "the most severe regulation and control policy in history." in the strict policy environment. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the effects of housing price regulation and development trend. This paper takes the tightening real estate macro-control policy in 2010-2012 as the background environment, taking Changsha commodity housing price as the research object, from the market supply, the demand. In four aspects of supply and demand relationship and price index, this paper systematically analyzes the development status and characteristics of Changsha real estate market and commodity housing price under the macro-control policy, and combines the spatial analysis method. This paper analyzes and studies the spatial distribution characteristics and dynamic mechanism of the commodity housing price in Changsha city, and forecasts the development trend of the commodity housing price from the quantity according to the prediction model. Finally, according to the current situation of real estate in Changsha, this paper puts forward some suggestions on macro-control policy from five aspects, in order to help the macro-control of commodity housing price in the next stage.
【学位授予单位】：湖南师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F123.16;F299.23

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