唐山凤凰新城项目投资风险评价研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 06:18

本文关键词：唐山凤凰新城项目投资风险评价研究　出处：《燕山大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：本文在深入剖析唐山凤凰新城项目投资风险的基础上，基于投资决策、前期准备、项目建设和租售管理四个维度构建了唐山凤凰新城项目投资风险评价指标体系与模型，最后验证了风险评价指标体系与评价模型的合理性，并提出了降低该项目投资风险的对策建议。针对课题的特点，采用了文献分析法、问卷分析法、企业访谈法与实证分析方法等。首先，文章介绍了房地产投资风险的概念、进行风险评价的目的、意义等内容，深入探讨了风险评价对房地产公司发展的意义与价值，同时系统回顾了国内外相关研究进展，为本文后续研究奠定了坚实的理论基础。其次，详细介绍了唐山凤凰新城项目的基本情况，概述了项目的总体规划、项目建设的主要内容等，详细阐述了项目的总投资情况、营业收入、营业税金及附加估算、总成本费用、利润估算及分配、财务盈利能力等，并基于投资决策、前期准备、项目建设和租售管理四个维度剖析了唐山凤凰新城项目投资风险的影响因素。再次，构建了唐山凤凰新城风险评价指标体系及评价模型。采用问卷调查法和专家深度访谈法，按照房地产开发建设过程构建了房地产投资项目风险评价指标体系；提出了确定唐山凤凰新城项目投资风险评价的权重确定方法，并构建了唐山凤凰新城项目投资风险评价的多级模糊综合评判模型。最后，在对调查问卷收集与整理的基础上，运用层次分析法计算各个评价指标的权重，采用多层次模糊综合风险评价方法评价该项目，，结果表明该项目处于一般风险等级，验证了本文提出的风险评价指标体系与评价模型的合理性，最后提出了降低该项目投资风险的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Based on in-depth analysis of the investment risk of Tangshan Phoenix Metro project, based on the investment decision-making, preparation, the four dimensions of project construction and rental management construction of Tangshan Phoenix Metro project investment risk evaluation index system and model, and finally verify the rationality of risk evaluation index system and evaluation model, and puts forward some countermeasures to reduce the risk of investment this project. According to the characteristics of the subject, using the literature analysis method, questionnaire method, interview method and empirical analysis method of enterprise.
First of all, this paper introduces the concept of real estate investment risk, the risk assessment of the purpose, significance of the content, discusses the significance and value of the risk assessment of the Real Estate Company's development, and systematically reviews the related research progress at home and abroad, has laid a solid theoretical foundation for the follow-up study.
Secondly, introduces the basic situation of Tangshan Phoenix Metro project, the overall planning of the project construction project are summarized, such as the main content, elaborated the total project investment, operating income, business taxes and surcharges estimates, the total cost, profit estimation and distribution, financial profitability, and based on the investment decision the preparation, influencing factors, four dimensions of project construction and rental management analysis of Tangshan Phoenix Metro project investment risk.
Again, the Tangshan Phoenix Metro construction risk evaluation index system and evaluation model. By using the method of questionnaire investigation and expert interview, in accordance with the process of real estate development and construction to build a real estate investment project risk evaluation index system; put forward the method of determining weights of Tangshan Phoenix Metro project investment risk evaluation, multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model and construct the Tangshan Phoenix Metro project investment risk evaluation.
Finally, based on collecting and sorting of the questionnaire, using the weights of each evaluation index AHP, using multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method for risk evaluation of the project, the results show that the project is in the general level of risk, to verify the rationality of the proposed risk evaluation index system and evaluation model, finally puts forward some countermeasures suggestions to reduce the investment risk of the project.

【学位授予单位】：燕山大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.233.4

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